D3： 为 地缘政治环境的渐进和快速变化做好准备.pdf

1、Preparing for(Gradual and Rapid)Changes in the Preparing for(Gradual and Rapid)Changes in the Geopolitical EnvironmentGeopolitical EnvironmentMay 6-8,2024|Charlotte,NCJoe Frederick,North Star Support Group(NSSG)Geopolitics and Geopolitical Risks TodayWorking DefinitionsGeopolitics“Study of how geogr

2、aphy affects politics and relations among states.”Working DefinitionsGeopolitical Risk“The threat,realization,and escalation of adverse events associated with war,terrorism,and any tensions among states and political actors that affects the peaceful course of international relations.”Working Definit

3、ionsGeopolitical Uncertainty“The unpredictable state of international relations and how it impacts businesses and organizations.”Geopolitical Risk TypesSource:CFA Institute,Geopolitics,accessed 1 Mar.2023,https:/www.cfainstitute.org/en/membership/professional-development/refresher-readings/introduct

4、ion-geopolitics.EventEvents of which we know the timing,but not the outcomes.Example:Elections,BrexitExogenousUnanticipated events;shocks to the system.Example:Coups,War/ConflictThematicEffects over an extended period of time.Example:Climate Change,Cyber Warfare,TerrorismWhy does it matter?So what?C

5、EOs think its importanthttps:/ and political uncertainty ranked as greatest risk to growth.”KPMG(October 2023)“Geopolitical risk is at the top of the CEO agenda.”McKinsey(August 2023)https:/ CEOs recognise the impact of technology and digital innovation have on their companies,they discount the impa

6、ct of geopolitics.”EY(September 2021)https:/ competition is sending more frequent shockwaves through the global economy,and investors are paying attention to great-power politics.”Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon(January 2024)https:/ think its importantagainhttps:/ think its importantagainhttps:/econ