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标普 全球及亚太地区再保险行业信息更新(2024年10月).pdf

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1、This report does not constitute a rating actionGlobal And Asia-Pacific Reinsurance Sector UpdateLive Webinar and Q&A Wednesday,October 30,2024ContentsPageGlobal Reinsurance Sector Update3 11Asia-Pacific Reinsurance Sector Update12 18Contacts19Related Research20GlobalReinsurance SectorGlobal Reinsure

2、rs Must Maintain Discipline To Cement Strong Performance Amid Casualty RisksWe maintain our stable view on the global reinsurance sector.The global reinsurance industry earned its cost of capital in 2023 for the first time in four years,and we expect it to do so in 2024-2025,solidifying our stable v

3、iew of the sector.Reinsurers earnings prospects are sound for 2024-2025 after strong operating results in 2023 and the first half of 2024,with the highest profit margins in many years amid favorable pricing in short-tail lines,healthy investment income,and strengthened capitalization with a buffer a

4、t the 99.99%confidence level.Reinsurers strategic positioning helped them mostly dodge last years elevated natural catastrophe losses from secondary perils,though they remain exposed to potential outsize losses from primary perils.Casualty pricing remains under scrutiny as U.S.liability loss reserve

5、s remain susceptible to inflation risk,especially from the soft underwriting years of 2014-2019.Operating PerformanceReinsurers delivered a very strong performance in 2023 and in the first half of 2024 based on strict underwriting and improving investment returns.Despite signs of moderation in prope

6、rty pricing,overall conditions are still favorable,and we expect the industry will continue to post strong results.Source:S&P Global Ratings.F-Forecast.The 2020 combined ratio included 8.8 percentage points related to Covid-19 losses.The top 19 global reinsurers are:Arch,Ascot,Aspen,AXIS,China Re,Co

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本文主要讨论了全球和亚太再保险行业的最新动态。全球再保险行业在2023年首次在四年内实现了其资本成本,预计2024-2025年也将如此,从而巩固了我们对该行业的稳定看法。再保险公司的盈利前景在2024-2025年看起来不错,因为2023年和2024年上半年的强劲运营结果,以及短期业务线的有利定价、健康的投资收入和加强的资本化。亚太地区的再保险公司在2023年保持了稳定的信用趋势,预计2024-2025年也将如此,因为支持性的盈利和资本化。亚太地区的再保险市场预计将保持增长势头,尽管面临上升的物理风险和放缓的经济前景。亚太地区的再保险公司预计将看到稳定的盈利,尽管面临竞争激烈的原保险市场和不断增加的自然灾害复杂性。亚太地区的再保险公司预计将看到投资收益的下降,这需要更多的承保纪律。亚太地区的再保险公司预计将面临更高的保险索赔和资本市场波动,这可能会削弱资本实力。
全球再保险业2024年展望如何? 亚太再保险市场面临哪些主要风险? 2024年亚太再保险业盈利能力如何?
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