主题演讲：欧盟农产品价值链面临的挑战和转型及其融资需求.pdf

1、#ficompassFinancing EU agri-food systems in times of global challenges and disorderJohan Swinnen11th Annual EU Conference on EAFRD Financial InstrumentsOctober 2025From June 2013 Source:FAO 2025Towards the end Towards the end of hunger of hunger From June 2013 Source:FAO 2023Towards the end Towards

2、the end of hunger?of hunger?Source:FAO 2025From June 2013 AcuteAcute foodfood insecurityinsecurity tripled since 2016tripled since 2016Source:Global Report on Food Crises And in many developing regions,and especially in Africa,output growth has been largely driven by area expansionAgricultural growt

3、h globally has largely been driven by productivity growth since the 1970s,but productivity growth slowed down in recent years Slowdown of agricultural productivity growthSource:Popkin et al.2020Countries with both undernutrition and overweight,2010Coexistence of undernutrition,micronutrient deficien

4、cies,and overweight and obesityTriple burden of malnutritionTriple burden of malnutritionSource:Ruel 2019,Leroy 2019,Van Wesenbeeck et al.20183 billion people cannot afford a healthy diet2 billion people have micronutrient deficiencies2 billion people are overweight or obeseA third of LMI countries

5、face undernutrition and obesityThe global food system consumes 30%of energy and produces 20%of GHG emissionsFood systems and climate changeFood systems and climate change Two-way relationship Major cause “Official recognition”only at COP-28 Potential major(part of)solution Impacts are real nowSource

6、:EM-DATCurrent situation Annual Average Loss(AAL):28.3 billion for EU-27 Drought(50%),frost,hail and excess precipitation)drive 80%of climate-related agricultural losses Probable Maximum Loss(PML)in a catastrophic year estimated at 57.5 billionOnly 20-30%of climate-related losses are insured via pub