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WED_AdelajdaSoltysik_Reframing-Productivity.pdf

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1、Reframing ProductivityReframing ProductivityPromises,assumptions,their flaws and alternativesPromises,assumptions,their flaws and alternativesAdelajda SoltysikAdelajda SoltysikSenior Adviser,Centre for Policy DevelopmentSenior Adviser,Centre for Policy DevelopmentLabour productivity definition(usual

2、)Labour productivity definition(usual)=output per worker=total output /total employment=Total output(usually real GDP or GVA)Total hours worked Promise:raise living standardsProductivity Jobs Wages Assumption:Assumption:Productivity growth increases jobs,and higher labour demand boosts wages.Promise

3、s&AssumptionsPromises&Assumptions=Assumption 1Assumption 1Productivity leads to more jobs.Reality:Reality:Depends on marginal productivity;automation often replaces labour(self-checkout example).Assumption 2Assumption 2Jobs leads to higher wages.Reality:Reality:Only when workers have power.Monopsony

4、 and weak bargaining suppress wages.Promises&AssumptionsPromises&AssumptionsAssumption 3Assumption 3Higher wages mean better living standards.Reality:Reality:Rising incomes dont automatically translate to wellbeing-quality of life depends on how gains are shared,time,health,and sustainability.Lesson

5、s from HistoryLessons from HistoryShared prosperity emerged Shared prosperity emerged only when,the direction of only when,the direction of technological advances and technological advances and societys approach to dividing the societys approach to dividing the gains were pushed away from gains were

6、 pushed away from arrangements that primarily arrangements that primarily served a narrow elite.”served a narrow elite.”17501750 1850:Industrial Revolution1850:Industrial RevolutionProductivity surges but wages stagnate;child labour&Productivity surges but wag

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1. **生产力定义与承诺**:劳动生产力=总产出/总工时,承诺为提高生活水平,假设生产力↑带动就业↑、工资↑。 2. **假设与现实矛盾**: - 生产力↑未必增就业(如自动化替代劳动力); - 就业↑未必涨工资(需工人议价权,垄断压低工资); - 工资↑≠生活水平↑(取决于分配、时间、健康等)。 3. **历史教训**:工业革命期生产力升但工资滞胀,社会改革后共享繁荣;当前工会覆盖率降、劳动份额减、贫富分化,共享繁荣条件缺失。 4. **核心警示**:若不将生产力与目标结合,可能加剧社会危机(如气候问题)。
**生产力=幸福?** **谁分走了红利?** **效率=公平?**
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