Bruno Basso.pdf

1、Carbon Markets in the USA:Lesson learned and Future DirectionsBruno BassoUniversity Distinguished ProfessorDept.Earth and Environmental SciencesFirms are increasingly disclosing their environmental impact informationNumber of firms disclosing impacts through CDP23 000+firmsdisclosingclimateImpacts i

2、n 2023(+24%year over year)0500010000150002000025000ClimateWaterForestsCourtesy of Koen DeconinckPublic and Private interest in reducing emissionsIllinois Sustainable Ag Partnership Laboratory procedures Sampling strategies Bulk density Remote Sensing/Spectroscopy Process-based models Hydrid models(M

3、L+Process Based Models)Uncertainties in measuring and modeling SOC Lesson learned 1:Laboratory proceduresBrinton,Basso,2025 Agronomy JournalEven et al.(2024)240 samples of Soil Organic Carbon(SOC)across a transect from MI to ILLesson learned 2:Spatial variability is the norm Fowler,Basso et al.,2024

4、Long-term yield stabilityLesson learned 2:Bulk densityLesson Learned 3:Dynamic baselines are criticalBasso et al.,2025,Sci RepWe need models to develop dynamic baselinesMultiple process-based models are executed with the same inputs to assess uncertainty in SOC,GHG and Yield dynamicsDynamic DataDyna

5、mic Data:Soil,weather,ManagementSpecificationSpecification:Scenario and location definitionI In nput integrationput integration:Scenario definition and data mappingModel translatorOutput regularizationEnsemble post Ensemble post processingprocessingModel executionARMOSACROPSYSTDAYCENTDSSATAPSIMEPICS

6、ALUSSTICSFuture Direction:Multi-Model Ensemble(MME)Basso et al.,2025 Sci Rep.SOC change measurements vs MMESOC change under different baselinesSOC changes from Conv.Till to No-Till+Cover CropsBasso et al.,2025,Sci RepImpact of soil,initial soil C,and management practices on annua