市场准入反馈.pdf

1、Global Geopolitical Shiftby Deon JoubertSA Citrus Consumption(citrus fruit pp annually)Data suggests our main markets are the industrialized,developed and western world G7,EU,NAFTAthe old boys club.But that is not where the growth or population nor future GDP is Historic:2015-EU-28 in 2015=6.6 citru

2、s UK=15.6 citrus EU-27=10.1 citrus Russia=9.3 citrus China=0.75 of a citrus Africa=0.15 of a citrus India=0.13 of a citrusHere is where the growth,population and future GDP is Our Main Markets:The Western World is 12%of the PopulationChange to catch the wave of population&growth(88%),World Trade&GDP

3、Developed countries Developing countries Least-developed countries Data unavailable SOURCE:IMF&UNEU&US vs India&ChinaPopulation in 2024:EU=450m/US=335m India=1.43b/China=1.41b Population Projection for 2050:EU=447.9m/US=398.3m India=1.67b/China=1.31b785 millionvs2.84 billion846.2 millionvs 2.98 bill

4、ionSTILL OUR EXPORTS TO EU/UK/US=53%vs Southeast Asia/Asia=17%Trade Negotiationsby Jana Janse van RensburgChallenges for Southern Africa citrus exports CBS,FCM Creative in new forms of market access restrictionsEuropean Union(EU)AGOA Official US recognised CBS-free areas restrictionUnited States(US)

5、High tariffs,Quotas,Phytosanitary conditionsAsian&Middle East Import ban periodsBotswana&Namibia(SACU)Markets indicate raised,intensified restrictions and an uprise in protectionismOn multilateral level,governed by the World Trade Organisation Every member is bound to WTO agreements Objectives of ag

6、reements:-Strive for freer trade-Reduce barriers and protection-Provide a platform for dispute settlementYet,we still face these challenges(30 years)Non-existent Appellate Body since 2019 Members contribution to the WTO is determined by a members share of international trade(%)EU not subject to cont