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美国农业部(USDA):2025墨西哥谷物与饲料市场更新报告(英文版)(22页).pdf

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1、 THIS REPORT CONTAINS ASSESSMENTS OF COMMODITY AND TRADE ISSUES MADE BY USDA STAFF AND NOT NECESSARILY STATEMENTS OF OFFICIAL U.S.GOVERNMENT POLICY Required Report:Required-Public Distribution Date:September 22,2025 Report Number:MX2025-0048 Report Name:Grain and Feed Update Country:Mexico Post:Mexi

2、co City Report Category:Grain and Feed Prepared By:Rodrigo Trejo Approved By:Susan Karimiha Report Highlights:Improved dam levels and increased demand for local white corn and rice are expected to drive up production in marketing year 2025/2026.Sorghum and wheat production are projected to decline d

3、ue to weaker price expectations.Higher corn production is likely to stabilize imports,even as domestic demand remains robust.Imports of wheat,rice,and sorghum are forecast to increase,as production is unable to meet rising consumption.2 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Grain demand in the marketing year(MY)2025/20

4、26 is expected to remain strong,supported by population growth and expansion in the cattle,swine,and poultry sectors.Mexico is expected to remain a major grain importer as domestic production remains insufficient to meet growing food and feed needs.Mexicos corn production is forecast to recover by e

5、ight percent to 25.0 million metric tons(MMT),driven by higher local white corn prices compared to other grains,favorable weather,and gradual recovery of reservoirs following drought conditions in Sinaloa for two consecutive years.However,forecast production remains three percent below the five-year

6、 average as major producing states work to restore planted areas and improve yields.Higher domestic output is expected to keep imports steady at 25.0 MMT.Wheat production is forecast down 34 percent to 1.75 MMT due to low reservoir levels in Sonora and weaker prices.Imports are projected up 18 perce

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根据报告的内容,以下是全文主要内容的关键点: 1. **玉米产量预计增长8%,达到2500万吨,主要受当地白玉米价格上涨和干旱后水库恢复的推动**。 2. **小麦产量预计下降34%,至175万吨,因索诺拉水库水平低和价格疲软**。 3. **大米产量预计增长4%,至17.7万吨,受人口增长和当地大米需求增加的推动**。 4. **高粱产量预计下降2%,至400万吨,受利润率和价格疲软的影响**。 5. **玉米进口预计稳定在2500万吨,而小麦、大米和高粱的进口预计将增加**。 6. **墨西哥玉米生产预计将稳定进口,尽管国内需求强劲**。 7. **2025/2026年度总消费预计增长3%,达到4980万吨,主要受家禽、猪和牛饲料需求增加的推动**。
**玉米产量预测** **小麦进口趋势** **墨西哥稻米需求增长**
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