美国农业部（USDA）：2025墨西哥谷物与饲料市场更新报告（英文版）（22页）.pdf

1、 THIS REPORT CONTAINS ASSESSMENTS OF COMMODITY AND TRADE ISSUES MADE BY USDA STAFF AND NOT NECESSARILY STATEMENTS OF OFFICIAL U.S.GOVERNMENT POLICY Required Report:Required-Public Distribution Date:September 22,2025 Report Number:MX2025-0048 Report Name:Grain and Feed Update Country:Mexico Post:Mexi

2、co City Report Category:Grain and Feed Prepared By:Rodrigo Trejo Approved By:Susan Karimiha Report Highlights:Improved dam levels and increased demand for local white corn and rice are expected to drive up production in marketing year 2025/2026.Sorghum and wheat production are projected to decline d

3、ue to weaker price expectations.Higher corn production is likely to stabilize imports,even as domestic demand remains robust.Imports of wheat,rice,and sorghum are forecast to increase,as production is unable to meet rising consumption.2 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Grain demand in the marketing year(MY)2025/20

4、26 is expected to remain strong,supported by population growth and expansion in the cattle,swine,and poultry sectors.Mexico is expected to remain a major grain importer as domestic production remains insufficient to meet growing food and feed needs.Mexicos corn production is forecast to recover by e

5、ight percent to 25.0 million metric tons(MMT),driven by higher local white corn prices compared to other grains,favorable weather,and gradual recovery of reservoirs following drought conditions in Sinaloa for two consecutive years.However,forecast production remains three percent below the five-year

6、 average as major producing states work to restore planted areas and improve yields.Higher domestic output is expected to keep imports steady at 25.0 MMT.Wheat production is forecast down 34 percent to 1.75 MMT due to low reservoir levels in Sonora and weaker prices.Imports are projected up 18 perce