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2040 年我们的健康.pdf

上传人: Fl****zo 编号:724398 2025-07-01 14页 1.37MB

1、Investing for long-term improvementin our health and healthcare systemOur health in 2040Dr Ronan Glynn,Health Sector Lead,EY IrelandHealth Summit 2025Types of ChangeOur health in 2040|Investing for long-term improvement in our health and healthcare system1Core questionsTypes of changePurposePower an

2、d relationshipsArchetypicalactionsHow can we do moreof the same?Are we doing things right?IncrementalTo improve performanceTo optimise processesConfirms existing rulesCopying,duplicating,mimickingWhat rules shall we create?What new structures and processes do we need?ReformTo understand and change t

3、he systems and its partsOpens rules to revisionSignificant adjustments to practices and structuresRequires coordinated effort across multiple levels83.481.679.97274767880828420002005201020152021FemaleTotalMaleOlder age groups:Population 2023&Disease Case Projections England:2019 versus 2040 projecte

4、d 2028-43 The case for transformationOur health in 2040|Investing for long-term improvement in our health and healthcare system20%5%10%15%20%25%2023202820332038204365-7475-8585+45%+45%+92%+37%+51%+34%+31%+16%+49%+32%01,000,0002,000,0003,000,0004,000,0005,000,0006,000,0007,000,0008,000,00020192040200

5、020232046No of Deaths in Ireland30,00060,00031,40035,40055,000+13%+55%YearThe case for transformationOur health in 2040|Investing for long-term improvement in our health and healthcare system3The case for transformationOur health in 2040|Investing for long-term improvement in our health and healthca

6、re system4Accessto careOutpatientsDiagnosticsPrimary CareResidentialCareAcute CareEmergency Care 1 in 4of all govt spending in 2040New entrants to the nursing register in 202478%educated abroadShortage ofhealthcare assistants62k by 2036AffordabilityAccessWorkforceThe case for transformationOur healt

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本文主要讨论了为实现长期健康和医疗系统改善,需要进行系统性的转型。关键点如下: 1. **人口健康趋势**:预计到2040年,老年人口增长,疾病案例上升,如英格兰的65-74岁人口将从2019年的案例数增长至2040年。 2. **医疗系统挑战**:爱尔兰的医疗支出、护士短缺、医疗助理短缺等问题表明现有系统无法应对未来挑战。 3. **变革的必要性**:提出了增量改进、改革和转型三种类型的变革,强调需要创新和从根本上重新思考问题。 4. **核心数据**:如2040年医疗支出占政府总支出的1/4;2024年新注册护士中78%为海外教育;到2036年医疗助理短缺将达到62,000人。 5. **战略远见**:通过情景规划、趋势分析、创新和中断的考虑,理解变革动态,预见风险和机遇。 6. **转型优先级**:数字转型、结构转型、文化变革与变革管理、人口健康、劳动力发展支持、创新合作伙伴关系和社区参与。 7. **乐观前景**:指出计算能力、数字化转型、信息获取、教育水平提高等都是推动变革的有利条件。 综上所述,文章强调了医疗系统全面转型的必要性和紧迫性,并提出了相应的策略和优先行动领域。
"2040年健康展望如何?" "医疗体系变革的必要性与挑战有哪些?" 我们能做什么?"
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