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长时储能技术及全球市场趋势.pdf

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1、Copyright IDTechEx|www.IDTechESlide 1Long Duration Energy Storage Technologies and Global Market TrendsConrad Nichols Senior Technology Analyst,IDTechExCopyright IDTechEx|www.IDTechESlide 2IDTechEx Provides Clarity on Technology InnovationMarketforecastsTechnologyscoutingTechnologyassessmentStrategi

2、cadviceMarketsizingCompanyprofilingCopyright IDTechEx|www.IDTechE Slide 3 And Covers a Wide Range of TopicsCopyright IDTechEx|www.IDTechE Slide 4 Introduction to LDESCopyright IDTechEx|www.IDTechE Slide 5 What is LDES and Why Will We Need It?0051590152199262307388481669101714260035202126323442466282

3、920200400600800100012001400160025%30%35%40%45%50%55%60%65%70%75%80%85%90%Energy Storage or Power(GW or GWh)Share of VRE in electricity generation mix(%)Increasing Storage Capacity Requirements with Increasing Share of Variable Renewable Energy(VRE)Energy storage in GWhPower capacity in GW0.02.04.06.

4、08.010.012.014.016.018.025%30%35%40%45%50%55%60%65%70%75%80%85%90%Average duration of storage(hours)Share of VRE in electricity generation mixIncreasing Duration of Storage Requirements with Increasing Share of VRELi-ion less suitable,LDES technologies starting to be in greater demand.Li-ion suffici

5、ent here.Copyright IDTechEx|www.IDTechE Slide 6 When Will LDES Be In Demand?0.0%10.0%20.0%30.0%40.0%50.0%60.0%70.0%80.0%1985199520052015202520352045%VRE in electricity generation mix%VRE in Global(Average)Electricity Generation Mix2010,global share of electricity from VRE starts to increase more rap

6、idlyHistorical data before 2022Forecast data2036-2039,average duration of storage globally will need to be 6 hours to facilitate the volume of VRE on electricity grids.Greater demand for LDES technologies globally.Key regions will start seeing commercial-scale deployments of LDES technologiesPilot/s

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本文主要分析了长时能量存储技术(LDES)的市场趋势和全球需求。以下是关键点: 1. 随着可变可再生能源(VRE)在电力生成中的比例增加,对储能容量的需求上升,特别是在2036-2039年,全球储能平均时长将需要达到约6小时。 2. 现有的锂离子电池在长时间储能方面不够适用,LDES技术需求增长,预计到2044年市场价值将超过2200亿美元。 3. LDES技术的成本和效率:例如,锂离子电池的资本成本为200-350美元/千瓦时,循环寿命为2000-10000次,而某些LDES技术(如液流电池)的资本成本虽然较高(500-800美元/千瓦时),但循环寿命超过20000次。 4. 早期采用LDES技术的关键区域包括德国、英国、加州等,这些地区在2023年和2035年的VRE发电比例预计将显著增长。 5. LDES技术的商业部署面临挑战,包括收入生成问题、市场改革需求以及技术成本降低尚未在商业规模上得到证明。 综上,LDES技术因应可再生能源比例的提升而受到重视,市场前景广阔但亦面临挑战。
"2036年储能需求将如何变化?" "哪些技术挑战正阻碍LDES发展?" "LDES技术如何创造收入机会?"
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