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William Webb_Keynote.pdf

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1、From Weightless to NR+Lessons learnt and implicationsWilliam Webb20241The big picture growth is slowing and we have all the connectivity we need2Mobile data growthFixed data growthThe remaining task-ubiquity3Subscribers would prefer good coverage everywhere rather than super-fast coverage across lim

2、ited urban areasBut network coverage is not materially improving4IoT where targets were not met5The IoT reality steady growth8.5bn devices in 2020(20%of predictions)Almost all devices in the home and office.6IoT what went wrongThe view that everything should be connected.In practice the value of con

3、necting most things is minimal and the downside of complexity,security and cost significant.The assumption that just connecting a device is all that is needed.In practice,devices need management,the information they generate needs processing,users need support and complete solutions need to be deliv

4、ered.Too little focus by enterprise adopters on the non-technical implications of adopting IoT.To gain the benefits can require an overhaul of existing business practices and a change in business models.Insufficient focus on open standards.With the result that there are no standards in some areas,co

5、mpeting standards in others.Lack of an industry value chain that generates sufficient profit for all the players.The distribution of value is not aligned with the expectation of the various players.This has led many to attempt to move across the value chain,with predictably poor results.7At the syst

6、em level:how to avoid these mistakes Pick a segment,vertical or particular solution space where there is clear business case improvement from IoT.Make sure that a complete solution can be delivered even if that will come from myriad companies.Realistically model the profitability of each player in t

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本文讨论了物联网(IoT)的发展及其面临的挑战,特别是Weightless和NR+技术的案例。关键点如下: 1. 连接增长放缓:移动和固定数据增长趋缓,用户更偏好广泛的覆盖而非局限于城市的高速覆盖。 2. IoT发展不如预期:2020年仅达到8.5亿设备连接,远低于预测,大多数设备局限于家庭和办公室。 3. IoT问题:过度连接、忽视非技术影响、缺乏开放标准和行业价值链利润分配不均。 4. Weightless理念与现实:尽管技术成功,但因IoT增长低于预期、TV白色空间开放有限、竞争技术过多等原因失败。 5. NR+现状:技术发展、标准制定、模块部署取得成功,但定位不明确,低成本芯片缺乏,且未获得大公司支持。 6. 建议:选择特定领域(窄方向)成为主导技术,同时保持一定程度的通用性(宽方向)市场推广。 核心数据引用: - 2020年IoT设备连接数:8.5亿 - Weightless因缺乏资金和行业支持而失败 - NR+面临与Weightless相似的挑战,但具有更强的频谱位置和较低的依赖风险投资。
"物联网发展失速的原因是什么?" "Weightless为何未能成功?" "NR+如何避免重蹈覆辙?"
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