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兰德:人工智能对国家安全和公共安全的评估报告(英文版)(12页).pdf

上传人: AG 编号:607578 2024-01-01 12页 211.27KB

1、ANTON SHENKEvaluating Artificial Intelligence for National Security and Public SafetyInsights from Frontier Model Evaluation Science DayConference Proceedings2ables,thresholds for dangerous AI capabilities,and voluntary risk management policies for scaling AI capabilities.The workshop proceedings sy

2、nthesize insights from these sessions,outline the complexities of eval-uating AI for dangerous capabilities,and highlight the collaborative effort required to formulate effec-tive policy.Track 1:Chemistry and Biology The chemistry and biology(chem-bio)track illu-minated the intersection of AI with c

3、hem-bio risks,incorporating insights from evaluations of general-purpose and domain-specific models.This section details lessons learned from completed model evalu-ations,needs and priorities for subsequent rounds of evaluations,and considerations for wet lab validation of model outputs.Lessons Lear

4、ned from Completed Model EvaluationsEmbracing Complexity in Chem-Bio Model Assessments This session highlighted the persistence of threat actors and the complex evolution of chem-bio threats.During the discussion,one participant observed a potential limitation of existing evaluation meth-ods,suggest

5、ing that marking an entire task as failed because of early setbacks might not fully capture the resilience and adaptability of threat actors.This cri-tique posits that a more nuanced approach accounting for threat progression and troubleshootingsuch as knowing the proportion of sub-steps that succee

6、dcould provide a more comprehensive and continu-ous understanding of the threat landscape.Tabletop exercises were proposed to explore the dynamics of troubleshooting and iteration further;however,their effectiveness in this context remains to be tested.Navigating the Complexities of Dual-Use Dangers

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本文主要讨论了人工智能(AI)在国家安全和公共安全领域的评估问题。会议围绕四个主题展开:化学和生物学、失控风险、风险无关方法和协作与协调。 化学和生物学方面,讨论了AI与化学和生物风险的交集,提出了对现有评估方法的批评,并强调了评估AI危险能力时需要考虑的复杂性。失控风险方面,探讨了AI系统超出开发者或用户设定界限的潜在风险,包括AI欺骗人类或自主行动。风险无关方法方面,提出了评估AI模型的全面和通用方法,包括红队测试、自动化基准测试和任务设计。协作与协调方面,讨论了建立关键政策时间表和交付成果,以及建立评估科学的共同理解。 会议还强调了建立机制以提高模型开发阶段的透明度的重要性,并提出了建立独立机构以协调这些挑战的建议。此外,还讨论了评估结果的发布和共享的最佳实践,以保持评估的完整性和稳健性。 总的来说,会议强调了跨学科合作在有效减轻高级AI系统潜在危险中的重要性,并提出了多项政策行动建议,以应对AI带来的挑战。
人工智能评估如何捕捉复杂威胁动态? 如何确保模型评估的稳健性和有效性? 如何制定人工智能风险阈值和红线?
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