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德勤:2020年COVID-19流行病对东非经济的营销报告(英文版)(35页).pdf

上传人: 孔明 编号:19598 2020-09-24 35页 2MB

1、Economic impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on East African economies Summary of government intervention measures and Deloitte insights May 2020 Economic Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on East African Economies Introduction The Coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic is currently causing significant adverse i

2、mpact on the global economy. Governments around the world are implementing various fiscal measures to mitigate the adverse effect and provide relief for businesses and households. Across the Eastern African region, the impacts of COVID-19 are being felt in different ways and the measures taken by th

3、e respective governments have also differed on the areas of focus and comprehensiveness. In this publication, we provide insights on the expected economic impacts of COVID-19 in Ethiopia, Kenya, Tanzania and Uganda as well as various measures proposed by their governments to mitigate the impact. Due

4、 to the fast paced nature of this pandemic and the ensuing government measures and economic impact, we have used available data through 08 May 2020 for the purposes of our analysis in this publication. Global Cases The novel coronavirus (COVID-19) was reported to have emerged from Wuhan in China tow

5、ards the end of December 2019, and has since spread across the world, affecting some 210 countries and territories as at the time of writing this report. North and South America Confirmed cases: 1,644,817 Deaths: 97,602 Africa Confirmed cases: 54,130 Deaths: 2,078 Europe Confirmed cases: 1,486,431 D

6、eaths: 148,156 Asia and Oceania Confirmed cases: 621,778 Deaths: 21,225 The first case of COVID-19 was reported in Kenya on 13 March 2020. The cases have since escalated to 621 cases, with 29 deaths and 202 recoveries as at 08 May, 2020. The first case of COVID-19 was reported in Ethiopia on 13 Marc

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本文主要分析了COVID-19大流行对东非经济体的影响,包括埃塞俄比亚、肯尼亚、坦桑尼亚和乌干达。主要观点如下: 1. 疫情导致全球经济大幅下滑,预计2020年全球GDP将下降3.2%,2021年将恢复至2.0%。非洲GDP增长预计将从3.2%降至-0.8%。 2. 各国政府采取了一系列财政和货币措施来缓解疫情对经济的影响,包括减税、降低利率、提供财政刺激等。 3. 疫情对各国经济产生了不同程度的影响,主要体现在旅游、航空、农业、制造业等行业的收入和就业下降。例如,肯尼亚的旅游业贡献了8.5%的GDP,但目前面临崩溃的风险。 4. 疫情还导致全球供应链中断,影响原材料和成品的进出口,进一步加剧了经济下滑。 5. 尽管各国政府采取了措施,但疫情对经济的长期影响仍存在不确定性,需要密切关注。
COVID-19对东非经济有何影响? 各国政府采取了哪些措施应对疫情? 疫情对旅游业和航空业有何影响?
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