世界经济论坛：2020年全球风险报告（英文版）（102页）.pdf

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1、The Global Risks Report 2020 Insight Report 15th Edition In partnership with Marsh see Appendix A for the full name and description. Source: World Economic Forum Global Risks Perception Survey 20192020. Economic Geopolitical Environmental Societal Technological Source: World Economic Forum 2007-2020

2、, Global Risks Reports. Note: Global risks may not be strictly comparable across years, as definitions and the set of global risks have evolved with new issues emerging on the 10-year horizon. For example, cyberattacks, income disparity and unemployment entered the set of global risks in 2012. Some

3、global risks have been reclassified: water crises and income disparity were recategorized as societal risks in the 2015 and 2014 Global Risks Reports, respectively. Figure I: The Evolving Risks Landscape, 20072020 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th Top 5 Global Risks in Terms of Likelihood Top

4、5 Global Risks in Terms of Impact 20102009200820072011201220132014201520162017201820192020 20102009200820072020201120122013201420152016201720182019 EconomicEnvironmentalGeopoliticalSocietalTechnological Weapons of mass destruction Weapons of mass destruction Asset price collapse Fiscal crisesFinanci

5、al failureFinancial failure Climate action failure Deglobalization (developed) Climate change Water crises Water crises Extreme weather Extreme weather Oil price spikesGeopolitical conflict Food crises Water crises Water crises Chronic disease Asset price collapse Natural disasters Fiscal crises Ass

6、et price collapse Deglobalization (developed) Oil and gas price spike Chronic diseases Fiscal crises Blow up in asset prices Deglobalization (developed) China hard landing Oil price shock Pandemics Blow up in asset prices Deglobalization Interstate and civil wars Pandemics Oil price shockEnergy pric