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美国农业部(USDA):2026塞尔维亚谷物与饲料产业年度报告(中译版)(14页).pdf

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1、 THIS REPORT CONTAINS ASSESSMENTS OF COMMODITY AND TRADE ISSUES MADE BY USDA STAFF AND NOT NECESSARILY STATEMENTS OF OFFICIAL U.S.GOVERNMENT POLICY Required Report:Required-Public Distribution Date:May 08,2026 Report Number:RB2026-0002 Report Name:Grain and Feed Annual Country:Serbia Post:Belgrade R

2、eport Category:Grain and Feed Prepared By:Tatjana Maslac Approved By:Neil Mikulski Report Highlights:Serbias MY2025/26 wheat production was a record 3.7MMT and the current fall-planted wheat crop remains in excellent condition.Conversely,poor weather hampered Serbias corn quality.Production volume t

3、otaled a mere 3.5 MMT for the marketing year.As a result,Serbian corn exports for MY25/26 are an estimated record low 500,000 MT with limited stocks available by the end of the year.Introduction This report presents the outlook for grain and feed production,supply,and demand(PS&D)forecasts for the m

4、arketing years(MY)2025/26 and MY2026/27.HA=Hectares MT=Metric Ton MMT=Million Metric Tons MY=Marketing Year.Post and USDA official data both the marketing year of July to June for wheat and barley and October to September for corn.TY=Trade Year.July to June for wheat and barley and October to Septem

5、ber for corn.Executive Summary Serbias wheat situation is generally favorable.In MY2025/26,wheat output reached a record 3.7 MMT,about 28 percent higher than the previous year.Domestic use remained stable at roughly 2 MMT for the year(about 140,000 MT per month).Winter 2025/26 conditions were relati

6、vely mild,with no extreme temperature swings,belowaverage snowfall,and minimal winter-kill.Despite unusually warm weather in February and March,the fallplanted wheat crop remains in excellent condition.For MY2026/27,the wheat planted area is estimated at 630,000 hectares,about 4 percent higher than

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1. **小麦**:MY2025/26产量创纪录370万吨(增28%),出口150万吨;MY2026/27预计产量降至330万吨,出口增至170万吨。 2. **玉米**:MY2025/26因天气减产至350万吨(十年最低),出口仅50万吨;MY2026/27预计恢复至670万吨,出口可达250万吨。 3. **大麦**:MY2025/26产量46万吨,进口2万吨;MY2026/27预计产量48万吨,出口7万吨。 4. **饲料**:2025年产值22亿美元,30% livestock使用工业饲料,政府提供农业补贴(147.5亿第纳尔)支持生产。 5. **挑战**:玉米受黄曲霉毒素污染,化肥使用量下降(<50公斤/公顷),铁路运输效率低。
小麦产量创新高? 玉米出口为何暴跌? 饲料行业面临什么挑战?
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