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为什么储能需要独立定价.pdf

上传人: 五**** 编号:1209563 2026-04-21 19页 1.80MB

1、Why Energy Storage Needs Independent PricingChris WelchReporter,Argus Battery Materials24 February 2026 2026 Argus Media group.All rights reserved.1Contents1.Where we are now:ESS production,installations2.Drivers of demand:battery materials and power prices3.Why battery pricing is the next logical s

2、tep 2026 Argus Media group.All rights reserved.2A view of ArgusHeadquartered in the UK,Argus has over 1,300 staff working in 29 offices in the worlds principal commodity trading and production centres.Argus publishes more than 42,000 daily and weekly spot and forward price assessments,along with com

3、mentary,news and analysis for global commodities and energy markets.Coverage includes markets for:Oil,natural gas,power,hydrogen,coal,biomass,asphalt,base oils,emissions and carbonBiofuelsFertilizersAgricultureChemicals,including petrochemicals and oleochemicalsMetals,ferrous,non-ferrous,battery mat

4、erials,and scrapServices:Market reporting,news,and analysisConsulting and forecastingConferencesArgus prices are used as benchmarks worldwide,including for:US crude oilEuropean gasoline and biofuelsAsia-Pacific LPGCoalEuropean steelUS and European environmental markets 2026 Argus Media group.All rig

5、hts reserved.3Multiple products,multiple benchmarks4Four main products,covering ferrous,non-ferrous and scrap metalWidespread indexation:Used in 50%of metallurgical coal contracts30%of China iron ore imports priced on ArgusMajority of new steel futures settle against Argus pricesLME premiums used fo

6、r Class 1 nickel pricingStainless-steel and stainless-steel scrap1.ESS battery shipments have outpaced EVs 2026 Argus Media group.All rights reserved.5 EV Tank05001,0001,5002,0002,50020152016201720182019202020212022202320242025Global annual lithium-ion battery shipments(GWh)ESS LIBEV LIBSmall LIBCAG

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1. **ESS电池需求激增**:全球锂离子电池出货量中,储能系统(ESS)增速(82%)已超过电动汽车(EV,41%),中国电池库存持续上升,拉动锂需求前置。 2. **材料成本影响显著**:锂是ESS电池核心材料,占LFP电池成本约20%;铜价波动对项目敏感性高,两者价格波动直接影响项目经济性。 3. **电力市场依赖增强**:欧洲批发电价下降,但英国、德国等国日内价差扩大(如英国最大价差达500 EUR/MWh),负电价时长增加,强化储能套利需求。 4. **电池定价必要性**:独立定价可提升项目融资可行性、支持对冲合约,并为政策与拍卖提供透明度基准。
电池定价为何关键? 锂价如何影响储能? 储能需求会降温吗?
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