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优化作物研究系统以实现农场长期盈利.pdf

上传人: 明**** 编号:1195337 2026-04-16 38页 1.46MB

1、www.usask.caOptimizing Crop Research Systems for Longterm Farm ProfitabilityA presentation prepared for The Top Crop Summit February 26,2026Saskatoon byProfessor Richard GrayUniversity of Saskatchewanwww.usask.caTopics for Today1.Returns to research,productivity gains,and producer impacts.2.The anno

2、unced AAFC research cuts,negative impacts,and options going forward3.Producers priorities for government spending for the next Agricultural Policy Framework4.How producers can best support research that will drive their profitability in the future.www.usask.caThe Slow Magic of Agricultural ResearchR

3、esearch InvestmentAg ResearchEconomicBenefits www.usask.caAgricultural Research&Development Outputs Improved Genetics Improved Agronomy Improved Pest and Disease Management BioInnoculants,beneficial insects Mechanical and digital tech New scientific knowledge for further development www.usask.caGene

4、tics,Breeding and Varietal Development Upstream Genomics Research makes breeding faster,cheaper and more effective Breeding for:Yielddisease resistanceinsect resistanceagronomic traitsquality Variety testing informs registration and producer adoption decisions Genetic yield increases .3%-.5%per year

5、www.usask.caAgronomy ResearchFertility managementWeed managementDisease and pest managementCropping systems,rotationsZero-tillage optimization Yield optimizationwww.usask.caPest and Disease Research Successful Canadian Pest/disease management Identify the pestDevelop diagnostic tools to measure the

6、presence of the pestDevelop and test the agronomy to manage the pestIdentify genetic sources breed crop resistance Canola blackleg,sclerotinia stem rot,clubroot,verticillium stripe Wheat leaf rust,stem rust,stripe rust,FHB,wheat midge,sawfly Pulses-Aphanomyces,Anthracnose,Ascochyta blightwww.usask.c

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1. **农业研究长期效益显著**:公共农业研究投资回报比极高(如小麦育种35:1),年生产力增长2%可使30亿加元谷物部门现值达120亿加元,遗传改良年贡献0.4%(现值12亿加元)。 2. **AAFC削减研究造成重大损失**:关闭圭尔夫、拉康布等站点,破坏50年合作育种(如农民资助占AAFC小麦育种50%),中断印度头站(占萨省35%耕地测试),导致短期损失2-4亿加元/年,长期生产力增长或降0.2%(现值240亿加元)。 3. **研究优先于风险管理**:育种成本1亿加元/年,效益是风险管理(BRM)的4倍且成本仅1/10,欧洲私有化育种导致产量增长滞后(3% vs 西加82%)。 4. ** producer需主导创新**:建议效仿澳大利亚,通过非退税 levy 或终点版税资助研究,确保公共研究持续性与农民话语权。
研究投资回报有多高? 加拿大农业研究为何被削减? 农民如何支持未来研究?
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