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戴德梁行:2025年下半年欧洲零售地产雷达(英文版)(16页).pdf

上传人: 1****1 编号:1186525 2026-04-13 16页 5.35MB

1、H2 2025EUROPEANRETAILRADAREXECUTIVESUMMARYOur detailed analysis of rental activity,conducted by Cushman&Wakefields leading European Retail&Leisure team,reveals key trends in retailer activity and real estate dynamics that is unrivalled in the market.Retailers are capitalising on new opportunities wh

2、ile keeping a close eye on costs,focusing their investments on creating standout flagship stores in key locations,focusing on elevating store quality.As property choices become ever more critical to overall performance,carefully defining real estate strategy is now essential for long-term retail suc

3、cess.ROBERT TRAVERSHead of EMEA RECONOMIC AND CONSUMER TRENDSGDP growth across Europe experienced a modest uptick in the fourth quarter of 2025 and is expected to remain moderate throughout 2026.Inflation continued to trend downwards,with most European countries ranging from 2%to 4%in January 2026.F

4、orecasts are anticipated to remain near the 2%target set by central banks,reflecting stability.Consumer confidence remains below the long-term average,as a result consumer spending remained modest over the past six months.Consumer confidence is expected to remain steady throughout early 2026,as high

5、 cost of living persists.Tourism arrivals are expected to have reached an all-time high in 2025,supported largely by continued strength in intra-European travel.Long-haul travel remained resilient,with arrivals 18%higher than in 2024.RETAIL TRENDS TO WATCHExpanding Asian BrandsA growing number of As

6、ian retail brands have entered or are actively seeking entry across Europe and the UK,driven largely by the influence of social media,which has created and accelerated consumer demand.Larger Unit DemandThere has been fewer requirements for large stores across Europe,but demand characteristics vary.D

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1. **经济与消费趋势**:2025年欧洲GDP温和增长(欧盟+1.4%,英国+1.36%),通胀降至1.7%(2026年1月),消费者信心仍低于长期均值,旅游达历史新高(同比增18%)。 2. **零售租赁活动**:2025年完成超1,800笔交易,时尚品牌占主导(35%租赁面积),混合商品品牌创四年新高,奢侈品交易量同比翻倍。 3. **租金与需求**:核心地段租金全面上涨(高街+3.3%、零售公园+2.0%),小型单元(<600㎡)占84%交易,大型单元(>2,000㎡)需求下降10%。 4. **亚洲品牌扩张**:受社交媒体驱动,亚洲品牌(如Miniso、Pop Mart)加速进入欧洲,2025年新增多家旗舰店。 5. **未来展望**:2026年经济或温和增长,但地缘冲突与成本压力存不确定性,零售商聚焦旗舰店策略以提升体验。
**欧洲零售趋势?** **亚洲品牌扩张?** **消费者信心如何?**
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