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美国农业部(USDA):2026泰国谷物与饲料市场年度报告(英文版)(19页).pdf

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1、 THIS REPORT CONTAINS ASSESSMENTS OF COMMODITY AND TRADE ISSUES MADE BY USDA STAFF AND NOT NECESSARILY STATEMENTS OF OFFICIAL U.S.GOVERNMENT POLICY Required Report:Required-Public Distribution Date:March 31,2026 Report Number:TH2026-0006 Report Name:Grain and Feed Annual Country:Thailand Post:Bangko

2、k Report Category:Grain and Feed Prepared By:Mana-anya Iemsam-arng,Agricultural Specialist Approved By:Mariya Rakhovskaya Report Highlights:Government policies and regional competition will continue to shape Thailands grain utilization and trade in MY 2026/27.New environmental regulations targeting

3、agricultural burning will directly impact rice and corn production,while the existing import requirements for corn and feed wheat aim to balance feed availability with domestic farmer income protection.Thailands decision to expand the zero-duty corn import quota for WTO members,which took effect on

4、January 1,2026,carries implications for corn supply and feed wheat demand.Executive summary FAS Bangkok(Post)forecasts Thailands MY 2026/27 rice production at 20.3 million metric tons(MMT).A contraction in off-season rice acreage is the primary driver of this year-on-year drop.With intensifying comp

5、etition among regional rice producers and Thai baht appreciation,Thailands rice exports will fall to 7.3 MMT for MY 2025/26 and remain there in MY 2026/27.Post forecasts MY 2026/27 corn production at 5.4 MMT,unchanged from MY 2025/26,as irrigated off-season area expansion offsets gradual contraction

6、 in burn-dependent upland zones under tightening environmental regulations.Corn imports are projected to rise from an estimated 1.7 MMT in MY 2025/26 to 1.9 MMT in MY 2026/27,with slightly higher feed demand and upland constraints increasing reliance on imported feed grains even as burn-free require

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1. **水稻**:2026/27年产量预计2030万吨(同比下降2%),主因反季节种植面积缩减;出口降至730万吨,受泰铢升值及区域竞争影响;期末库存将达460万吨,创五年新高。 2. **玉米**:产量稳定在540万吨,但环保禁烧政策限制高地种植;进口增至190万吨(扩容WTO零关税配额至100万吨),饲料需求增长驱动依赖进口。 3. **小麦**:进口降至330万吨(同比降6%),饲料小麦需求受玉米进口政策制约;消费稳定在320万吨,高库存(176万吨)抑制进口需求。 4. **政策与风险**:环保禁烧、玉米进口配额扩容及中东航运冲突是核心变量,影响区域贸易格局与供应链成本。
泰国米价为何跌? 玉米进口新规影响? 小麦需求会增长吗?
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