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气候变化对新斯科舍省海上风力涡轮机的影响.pdf

上传人: 表表 编号:1152746 2026-02-14 18页 1.78MB

1、Effects of Climate Change and Hurricanes on Offshore Wind Turbines in Nova ScotiaJerjis KapraS u p erv is o r:D r.La rry Hu g h esE l e c t r i c a l a n d C o m p u t e r E n g i n e e r i n gD a l h o u s i e U n i v e r s i t y2 4 S ep t 2 0 2 5Contents1.Background2.Objectives3.Data and Results4.

2、Discussion BackgroundOffshore Wind Energy in Nova Scotia 2022:Nova Scotia sets offshore wind target 2024:Canada-Nova Scotia Offshore Energy Accord Act 2025:Regional Assessment of Offshore Wind Energy in Nova Scotia Eight Potential Development Areas(PDAs)Four Offshore Wind Energy ZonesHurricanes Hurr

3、icane Sustenance Sea Surface Temperatures Humidity and Moisture Atmospheric Instability Hurricane Characteristics Extreme winds Quick Changes in Direction TurbulenceCredit:Risks to Offshore Wind Turbines Risks Subsea components Turbine towers Turbine blades Turbine control systems IEC 34100-3 Design

4、 Standard Turbine Class 1(252 km/h)Turbine Class 2(214 km/h)Turbine Class 3(189 km/h)Turbine Classes T(developer specific)Credit:Saur Energy InternationalClimate Change Projections Shared Socio-economic Pathways(SSPs)North Atlantic median sea surface temperature changes under SSP2-4.5 over hurricane

5、 season:2021-2040:0.8C 2041-2060:1.1C 2061-2100:2.2CCredit:IPCC Interactive Climate Atlas(CMIP6)Which PDAs experience less frequent and intense hurricanes?What is the historical effects of climate change on hurricanes on the Scotian Shelf?Which design standards would prevent damage from hurricanes f

6、or wind turbines on the Scotian Shelf?Research QuestionsData and ResultsDatasets:IBTrACS,SSTOICDR,Buoys NOAAs IBTrACS(International Best Track Archive for Climate Stewardship)NOAAs SSTOICDR(Sea Surface Temperature Optimum Interpolation Climate Data Record)Two buoys in Eastern Scotian Slope and LaHav

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1. **研究背景**:新斯科舍省设定海上风电目标,划分8个潜在开发区(PDAs)和4个能源区,需评估飓风及气候变化对海上风机的影响。 2. **核心数据**: - 海表温度(SST)在SSP2-4.5情景下,2061-2100年将上升2.2°C。 - 飓风风速分析:5.85%风速超风机Class 3阈值(189 km/h),2.61%超Class 2(214 km/h),0.77%超Class 1(252 km/h)。 - 重现期:5年(154.22 km/h)、10年(180.39 km/h)、20年(205.49 km/h)。 3. **结论**: - Scotian Shelf自1982年无飓风强度或数量显著趋势,但SST与飓风季节呈中高度正相关。 - 建议扩展浮标网络,建立极端风况数据库,并进一步研究飓风风险。
**飓风风险?** **气候影响?** **风机标准?**
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