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海上风电场选址对并网价值的考量.pdf

上传人: 表表 编号:1152745 2026-02-14 20页 1.35MB

1、Offshore wind siting considerations for grid valueWind R&D Forum 20252025-09Work conducted by Dalhousie University Renewable Energy Storage LaboratoryAlexandra Pimentel,Nathaniel Pearre,and Lukas SwanNathaniel S.Pearre presentingLukas Swan,PhD,PEng Principal Investigator,Renewable Energy Storage Lab

2、oratoryProfessor,Department of Mechanical EngineeringDalhousie UniversitySexton Campus,5269 Morris St,Halifax,Nova Scotia,B3J 0H6,CanadaT:902-830-0349,E:Lukas.SwanDal.Ca,W:http:/resl.me.dal.caProject2025-10-15Wind R&D Forum 2025Slide 2 Model and simulate offshore wind farms in Nova Scotia waters Pro

3、ject future provincial load and net load Increasing population Additional onshore wind generation Rooftop and commercial solar PV generation Maritime link NS block Changing uses(Electric vehicles,heat-pumps etc.)Compare OSW power production to future domestic electrical load in timeseries,as a funct

4、ion of location(geography)and wind farm size(MW)Background,assumptions and considerationsAssumptionsFor simplicity and economics,only bottom-mounted turbines are considered;Analysis is limited to areas with water depth of 70%in the Bay of Fundy to 50%at Browns Bank,eastern Cape Breton and Middle Ban

5、k.Note:disregard values over land2025-10-15Wind R&D Forum 2025Slide 13Gross Derated Capacity Factor These values represent a projected available generation once downtime,maintenance,and icing are accounted for 95%was used for Jan,Feb,&Mar 97%was used for the rest of the year Note:disregard values ov

6、er land2025-10-15Wind R&D Forum 2025Slide 14Export/curtailment fraction of 600 MW OSWAll other things being equal,exporting/curtailing less(lower values)is better.By the time an offshore wind farm is built,Nova Scotia will have in place 590 MW on onshore wind predating 2022372 MW of additional onsho

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1. **项目目标**:模拟新斯科舍省海域海上风电场,对比其发电量与未来负荷,评估不同地点和规模下的电网价值。 2. **关键假设**:仅考虑水深<55m的固定式风机;全年可用率97%,冬季(1-3月)额外降效2%(总计5%)。 3. **核心发现**: - 东部(如布朗斯班克)容量因子高达71%,西部仅53%,显著影响LCOE。 - 近岸站点(距岸2km)容量受限,远站点(如布朗斯班克80km)可减少NIMBY冲突。 - 风电与现有陆上风电相关性:芬迪湾>70%,布朗斯班克约50%,东部资源互补性更强。 4. **优化结论**: - 优先东部开发可最大化容量因子; - 多元化选址可减少弃风/弃电(约22%-26%); - 4.4GW总容量下,东部开发(如布朗斯班克)为最优解。
**风场选址秘诀?** **海上风电值多少?** **如何优化风电输出?**
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