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极端天气风险评估——主动采购策略初步指南.pdf

上传人: 可*** 编号:1000117 2025-12-07 17页 1.27MB

1、Severe Weather Risk AssessmentPreliminary Guidance for Proactive Procurement StrategiesDominic CartinaSenior Manager,Solar Energy&DesignApex Clean EnergyApex Is a Clean Energy Company Founded in 2009,Apex Clean Energy is a full-service renewable energy company focused on bringing utility-scale gener

2、ation facilities to market,from site origination and financing to turnkey construction and long-term asset management.Mission:Accelerating the Shift to Clean EnergyApex Plaza-Charlottesville,VAApex Clean Energy:By The Numbers60+GW10 GW690 million$15 billion2.0 GW 1.8 millionof commercialized product

3、ion capacity across more than 40 financed projects clean energy development portfolio,the largest in the United Statestons of CO2 to be displaced over the lifetime of built projectsof utility-scale projects completed,in construction,or financedof assets that we operate and manage acres under lease,a

4、n area larger than of the state of Rhode IslandSolar Assets and Severe Weather Risk Severe weather events and their associated risk for operating solar assets has been a trending topic throughout the industry for several years.Midway Solar,TX(2019)Fighting Jays Solar,TX(2024)Samson Solar,TX(2025)Sol

5、ar Assets and Severe Weather RiskSevere WeatherApex Risk AssessmentEarly-Stage Risk MitigationExisting Tools and Accounting for Bias FEMA National Risk Index(NRI)Benefits:Online,interactive mapping tool Incorporates 18 separate hazard categories No additional cost to the user!Limitations:Uncertainty

6、 beyond 2025 Risk categories are assessed on a per county basis Risk results predominantly rely on existing loss claimsThis approach can exhibit bias in sparsely populated areasExisting Tools and Accounting for BiasCounty-Level PopulationBell County:393,193Falls County:17,286Milam County:25,951Travi

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根据《Severe Weather Risk Assessment》文章,Apex Clean Energy通过以下关键点评估和减轻太阳能资产面临的恶劣天气风险: 1. **公司背景**:Apex Clean Energy成立于2009年,是一家专注于大型可再生能源项目的全服务公司,拥有超过40个项目的清洁能源开发组合,是美国最大的。 2. **风险评估方法**:使用NOAA NWS Storm Prediction Center的数据库,结合气象方法,量化每年预期的恶劣天气事件,并对项目风险进行分类。 3. **案例分析**:对五个不同地理位置和气候条件的太阳能项目进行分析,根据风险等级提出设备选择和缓解建议。 4. **案例结果**: - 伊利诺伊和密歇根:低风险,所有模块和跟踪系统均适用。 - 德克萨斯:高冰雹风险,建议使用抗冰雹模块和更陡的跟踪器收起角度。 - 弗吉尼亚:高风速风险,建议使用更坚固的模块和夹具系统。 - 密西西比:高冰雹和风速风险,建议使用更厚模块和跟踪器收起角度。 5. **未来考虑**:确保项目具备减轻恶劣天气风险的最佳设备,考虑偏差,并推动行业采用更耐用的测试策略。
"如何降低太阳能项目风险?" "Apex如何量化风暴风险?" "太阳能设备如何抵御极端天气?"
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