世界经济论坛：新经济的四大未来图景：2030年地缘经济与技术白皮书（英文版）（23页）.pdf

1、Scenarios for the Global Economy Dialogue SeriesFour Futures for the New Economy:Geoeconomics and Technology in 2030W H I T E P A P E RD E C E M B E R 2 0 2 5Images:Adobe StockDisclaimer This document is published by the World Economic Forum as a contribution to a project,insight area or interaction

2、.The findings,interpretations and conclusions expressed herein are a result of a collaborative process facilitated and endorsed by the World Economic Forum but whose results do not necessarily represent the views of the World Economic Forum,nor the entirety of its Members,Partners or other stakehold

3、ers.2025 World Economic Forum.All rights reserved.No part of this publication may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means,including photocopying and recording,or by any information storage and retrieval system.ContentsForeword 3Executive summary 41 Introduction 52 Four futures for t

4、he new economy in 2030 73 Implications for businesses 154 How can businesses prepare today for anyscenario 17Contributors 19Endnotes 21Four Futures for the New Economy:Geoeconomics and Technology in 20302ForewordGeoeconomic shifts are reshaping regulatory frameworks and the established patterns of t

5、rade,investment,talent and knowledge flows.Technological breakthroughs from artificial intelligence(AI)agents to autonomous systems and biotechnology are accelerating innovation,albeit raising urgent questions about economic inclusion,safety and governance.Financial markets oscillate between exubera

6、nce and volatility,while societies are grappling with growing debt,demographic shifts,rising polarization and the continued effects of climate change.The result is a global economic landscape marked by complex trade-offs and adapting to multiple transformative shifts.Businesses that thrive in the ne