万国邮政联盟（UPU）：2025年全球邮政发展报告（英文版）（98页）.pdf

1、STATE OFTHE POSTALSECTOR 2025Postal power reimagined:scale,service and survivalPublished by the Universal Postal Union(UPU)Berne,Switzerland Printed in Switzerland by the printing services of the UPU International Bureau Copyright 2025 Universal Postal Union All rights reserved Except as otherwise i

2、ndicated,the copyright in this publication is owned by the Universal Postal Union.Reproduction is authorized for non-commercial purposes,subject to proper acknowledgement of the source.This authorization does not extend to any material identified in this publication as being the copyright of a third

3、 party(e.g.through an image credit).Authorization to reproduce such third party materials must be obtained from the copyright holders concerned.TITLE:State of the Postal Sector 2025,Postal power reimagined:scale,service and survivalISBN:978-92-95116-40-5DESIGN:Sonja Denovski CONTACT:thinktankupu.int

4、Version 1Postal power reimagined:scale,service and survivalSTATE OF THE POSTAL SECTOR 2025Table of contentsEXECUTIVE SUMMARY.9 The path forward.10INTRODUCTION.12Section 1FROM A SEAMLESS NETWORK TO A PATCHWORK OF HIGHWAYS.15KEY TAKEAWAYS.16 Systemic transformation of the postal network.17 Why fragmen

5、tation matters:four transmission axes.18 Political-economy lens:when hubs entrench dependency and when they do not.19 Empirical core I:volume clusters reveal the scale of fragmentation.21 Empirical core II:delivery times,reliability and the human cost.24 Empirical core III price clusters,pandemic su

6、rcharges and a legacy of fragmentation 27 Synthesis from patchwork to a distributed postal grid.28 Potential governance architecture:differentiated multilateralism and regionalizing the UPU.30 Conclusion toward a resilient and inclusive global postal economy.31Section 2POSTAL DECOUPLING AND ITS DRIV