团结香港基金：2025以铁为脉 连通湾区：巩固香港国际航空枢纽地位报告（英文版）（80页）.pdf

1、Laying the Tracks toFuture-Proof Hong Kongs Status as an International Aviation HubNovember 2025National Strategic Blueprints1Executive SummaryUrgency for Connectivity2Consideration of Alternatives3The Air-to-Rail Nexus4Conclusion54212224272The global paradigm for aviation hubs is shifting from isol

2、ated terminals to seamlessly integrated,multimodal networks.As the nation advances its strategy for a“comprehensive and integrated transportation system”,the Greater Bay Area(GBA)is rapidly consolidating into a“world-class airport cluster on the rail”,forming a crucial node in the national and GBA a

3、ir-to-rail intermodal transportation cluster.Based on the latest public information at the time of writing,by 2035,the seamless integration of Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport(IATA code:CAN),Shenzhen Baoan International Airport(IATA code:SZX)and the Guangzhou New Airport via the Second Guangzh

4、ouShenzhen High-Speed Rail(HSR)will establish a new regional connectivity standard.This evolution presents both a challenge and an opportunity for Hong Kong International Airport(IATA code:HKG),which,going forward,must secure its position within this integrated network to maintain its competitive ad

5、vantage.Projections at the time of writing indicate that without decisive action and enhanced connectivity,HKG is to face a significant strategic disadvantage while risking gradual marginalisation.In a“do-nothing”scenario following the commissioning of the Second GuangzhouShenzhen HSR in 2035 at the

6、 latest,HKGs passenger growth would stall and decline post-2035.This trajectory would prevent the Three-Runway System(3RS)from reaching its full operational potential,representing a substantial underutilisation of critical infrastructure and diminish Hong Kongs role in the regional aviation landscap