美国农业部(USDA):2025菲律宾谷物与饲料市场年更新报告(英文版)(24页).pdf

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1、 THIS REPORT CONTAINS ASSESSMENTS OF COMMODITY AND TRADE ISSUES MADE BY USDA STAFF AND NOT NECESSARILY STATEMENTS OF OFFICIAL U.S.GOVERNMENT POLICY Required Report:Required-Public Distribution Date:September 24,2025 Report Number:RP2025-0041 Report Name:Grain and Feed Update Country:Philippines Post

2、:Manila Report Category:Grain and Feed Prepared By:Tricia Joy F.Arroyo Approved By:Herpin Rochet Jateng Report Highlights:FAS Manila increases its forecast for rough rice and corn production in Marketing Year(MY)2025/26,supported by favorable weather and continued government support programs.Wetter

3、weather conditions in the third quarter of 2025 and limited access to mechanical dryers have tempered the increase in rice and corn output in MY 2025/26.Post forecasts rice imports to decline in MY 2025/26 due to the 60-day import ban,partially offset by higher stock carryover from MY 2024/25.Post a

4、lso forecasts moderate growth in feed corn and feed wheat consumption in MY 2025/26 due to hog repopulation challenges compared to MY 2024/25,while milling wheat demand during the same period remains strong,driven by population growth and rising incomes.2 Executive Summary FAS Manila forecasts an in

5、crease in milled rice production in Marketing Year(MY)2025/26,driven by improved rough rice(palay)output,supported by favorable weather during the current MYs first planting season(May-June)and continued government rice-supporting programs that provide farm inputs and machinery.However,wetter weathe

6、r conditions in third quarter(Q3)of 2025,affecting the first harvest(mid-August to October)for MY 2025/26,and limited access to mechanical dryers are expected to moderate palay output.Post projects a decline in rice imports in MY 2025/26 due to the 60-day import ban that began on September 1,2025.In

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