1、Photo by Kevin Peschke Kearney,ChicagoLeading in structural volatility Supply Chain Navigator|2025 H2 outlookKearney ForesightSupply Chain InstituteThe Supply Chain Institute,part of the Kearney Foresight network,generates strategic insights to help global business leaders integrate fragmented opera

2、tional efforts and transform their supply chains.As an authority on supply chain thinking and practices,we regularly conduct comprehensive studies and competitions on critical operations topics to help our clients achieve immediate impact and lasting advantage.According to Kearneys outlook,global su

3、pply chain costs are projected to outpace inflation by up to 7 percent by Q4 2025.Leading in structural volatilityVolatility is no longer a disruptor;its the default setting.Over the next six months,CEOs and COOs can expect to navigate cost pressures,fractured trade flows,and rising geopolitical ten

4、sions not as outliers,but as integral to the operating environment itself.According to Kearneys outlook,global supply chain costs are projected to outpace inflation by up to 7 percent by Q4 2025.Meanwhile,risk modelsboth internal and algorithmicare struggling to track the real picture.Why?Because vo

5、latility has shifted from episodic to structural.This changes the rules of strategic control.The next frontier in supply chain leadership isnt just resilience;its about absorption.Success no longer depends on predicting the future with perfect clarity,but on being ready to respond to any future.That

6、 means designing operating models that treat persistent disruption as a core design input,not an exception to plan around.1Leading in structural volatilityTable of contentsCosts are rising and are more unpredictable 3The risk landscape is reshaping 5Three capabilities can turn volatility into contro