美国农业部（USDA）：2025澳大利亚谷物与饲料市场更新报告（英文版）（25页）.pdf

1、 THIS REPORT CONTAINS ASSESSMENTS OF COMMODITY AND TRADE ISSUES MADE BY USDA STAFF AND NOT NECESSARILY STATEMENTS OF OFFICIAL U.S.GOVERNMENT POLICY Required Report:Required-Public Distribution Date:July 25,2025 Report Number:AS2025-0016 Report Name:Grain and Feed Update Country:Australia Post:Canber

2、ra Report Category:Grain and Feed Prepared By:Zeljko Biki Approved By:Lazaro Sandoval Report Highlights:After a challenging start to the winter crop season in the southern production regionsdue to low soil moisture and below-average rainfallwidespread rain in the first two weeks of July has improved

3、 conditions.Combined with a favorable rainfall outlook for the months ahead,above-average wheat and barley production is forecast.FAS/Canberra projects a rise in wheat exports in MY 2025/26,following weaker than expected shipments during the first eight months of MY 2024/25.Higher ending stocks for

4、MY 2024/25 will boost wheat available for export for the forecast year.In contrast,barley exports are forecast to decline in MY 2025/26 due to strong export volumes so far in MY 2024/25,tightening supply for the forecast year.Sorghum production and exports are forecast to increase in MY 2025/26,supp

5、orted by positive conditions ahead of planting.Conversely,rice production and exports are expected to fall sharply due to depleted irrigation water storage,which is likely to significantly reduce the planted area.EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The outlook for Australias MY 2025/26 winter cropping season varies s

6、tarkly between regions.Wheat-producing areas in central and northern New South Wales and Queensland have experienced a positive start to the season with good soil moisture and average fall rainfall.In contrast,the southern regionsWestern Australia,South Australia,and Victoriahave faced a much more d