戴德梁行：2025年第一季度天津写字楼和零售物业市场概况报告（16页）.pdf

1、20259,517 9,027 13,318 16,719 18,024 7.5 9.2 13.1 10.4 13.6 4.6%5.3%4.8%5.0%5.5%56,21256,11753,67868,81357,705-21.9%-16.4%8.5%-11.8%2.5%2,086 4,373 4,915 6,585 4,843 2024Q420251-2/2025/2,853.9 0.39/13,929()2024-332025/148,066.2 1.071.3556()2025-012025()33,739.9 7.101.316,188()2025-042025/29,653.3 1.

2、493.01,676()2025-022,679,803075.94 32.76%9,3030%10%20%30%40%(100,000)0100,000200,000300,000400,000500,00020152016201720182019202020212022202320242025Q103060901201502015201620172018201920202021202220232024 2025Q1:/2,679,80387.00 34.55%81.8233.15%71.6039.03%71.8446.46%68.33 24.28%67.83 20.13%68.96 24.

3、63%2025Q2-20280100,000200,000300,000400,0002025Q2-Q420262027202824%23%12%TMT10%8%7%6%4%3%2%1%3,3002,600714503417 2025268.09,30339%0.432.8%2.7%75.920%24%23%3,3002,600202526.4202520252,809,299 041315.82%-9,599 0%2%4%6%8%10%12%14%16%(100,000)(50,000)050,000100,000150,000200,000250,000300,000350,000400,

4、00020152016201720182019202020212022202320242025Q1450260200350245200250775 625 500 655 380 400 420 02004006008001,000:/2,809,29958.3579.8 17.5%4.3300.08.3%51.2393.418.0%33.6479.48.8%18.5287.616.3%34.5352.7 6.1%12.6306.412.0%2025Q2-20280100,000200,000300,0002025Q2-Q4202620272028未来供应（2025Q2-2028）其他海河沿线南市-老城厢南京路-滨江道-和平路平方米MALLMALLBMALLT-PARCO:Calvin KleinTOM FORD0100,000200,000300,000400,000500,000600,000700,0002013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025F2026F2027F2028F2025280.920251-22.9%-9,59920240.315.82%0.4%413202513.82025T-PARCOMALL120252025IP+Sabrina W Hu FengF