达信（Marsh）：2024驾驭水道：气候变化对海运业的影响研究报告（英文版）（13页）.pdf

1、Navigating waterwaysClimate change implications for the maritime sectorNavigating waterways2Navigating waterways:Climate change implications for the maritime sector2IntroductionThe impact of changes in the climate on vital maritime routes are now central to assessing risks across the global supply c

2、hain.International trade relies on critical waterways for their strategic location and reliable navigability.These include human-made waterways such as the Suez and Panama Canals,as well as the traditional arteries of trade,including the Mississippi,Danube,Yangtze,and Amazon Rivers.With extreme weat

3、her events increasing in frequency and severity,including drought and flooding,high and low water levels are increasingly impeding reliable navigation in key waterways.When these waterways become unnavigable or congested,global trade can be significantly impacted.The consequences of this can be expe

4、nsive in 2022,low water levels in the Mississippi River led to a backlog of 2,000 barges,costing around US$20 billion in supply chain disruption and economic damage.This paper uses the Mississippi River as a case study to explore how climate-induced changes may impact inland waterways.It builds on o

5、ur previous well-received investigation of the Suez Canals fixed assets and their risk from climate change,where we showed how high winds in the region are making it more difficult for cargo vessels to steer,as highlighted by the Ever Given running aground and blocking the canal,costing US$60 billio

6、n in disruption to global trade.This paper identifies how different stakeholders,including port authorities,local and regional governments,shipping companies,and cargo owners,can establish effective resilience measures for their operations.Their interests in and responsibilities for particular activ