1、Photo credit:Chin Yee Chan/WorldFishFuture fish emissions:Insights from modeling foresight scenarios of regional fish supply and demandNovember,2024ForesightINITIATIVE ONINITIATIVE ONLow-Emission Food Systems2AuthorsChin Yee Chan,Nhuong Tran and Lisa Schindler.CitationThis publication should be cite

2、d as:Chan CY,Tran N and Schindler L.2024.Future fish emissions:Insights from modeling foresight scenarios of regional fish supply and demand.Penang,Malaysia:WorldFish.Working paper:2024-61.AcknowledgmentsA special thank you to Yan Hoong and Kai Ching Cheong,who helped us with data analysis.Funding f

3、or this study was provided through Mitigate+:Initiative for Low-Emission Food Systems,and the CGIAR Initiative on Foresight.We would like to thank all funders who support this research through their contributions to the CGIAR Trust Fund:www.cgiar.org/funders.ContactWorldFish Communications and Marke

4、ting Department,Jalan Batu Maung,Batu Maung,11960 Bayan Lepas,Penang,Malaysia.Email:worldfishcentercgiar.org Creative Commons LicenseContent in this publication is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License(CC BY-NC 4.0),which permits non-commercial use,inc

5、luding reproduction,adaptation and distribution of the publication provided the original work is properly cited.2024 WorldFish.Photo creditsFront cover,page,6,8,16,28,Chin Yee Chan/WorldFish.Future fish emissions:Insights from modeling foresight scenarios of regional fish supply and demand3Table of

6、contentsList of abbreviations 4Executive summary 51.Introduction 72.Material and methods 92.1.Fish foresight modeling 92.2.Scenarios 102.3.Post-model estimation of future GHG emissions 123.Results 143.1.Future fish supply and demand under the BAU,Risk and High scenarios 143.2.GHG emissions of fish 2