2020-2014年科技趋势报告-北约（英文版）（160页）.pdf

1、Science hard copies may be obtained on request, subject to availability from the NATO Offi ce of the Chief Scientist. The sale and reproduction of this report for commercial purposes is prohibited. Extracts may be used for bona fi de educational and informational purposes subject to attribution to t

2、he NATO S multi-national workshops; and, technol- ogy watch activities conducted by the Science How they are expected to develop over time; and, What this will mean to the Alliance from an operational, organisational or enterprise perspective? Ultimately, this assessment is intended to provide focus

3、 to Alliance S (2) at a staff level, assist in guiding the design of future military concepts and capabilities; and, (3) overall, aid policymakers in preparing Alliance forces and the NATO enterprise for mission success in the future security environment. Over the next 20 years, four overarching cha

4、racteristics can be expected to defi ne many key advanced military technologies: Intelligent: Exploit integrated AI, knowledge-focused analytic capabilities, and symbiotic AI- human intelligence to provide disruptive applications across the technological spectrum; Interconnected: Exploit the network

5、 of virtual and physical domains, including networks of sensors, organisations, individuals and autonomous agents, linked via new encryption methods and distributed ledger technologies; Distributed: Employ decentralised and ubiquitous large-scale sensing, storage, and computation to achieve new disr

6、uptive military effects; and, Digital: Digitally blend human, physical and information domains to support novel disruptive effects. Technologies with these characteristics are bound to increase the Alliances operational and organi- sational effectiveness through: the development of a knowledge and d