美国农业部（USDA）：2026印度谷物与饲料产业更新报告（英文版）（14页）.pdf

1、 THIS REPORT CONTAINS ASSESSMENTS OF COMMODITY AND TRADE ISSUES MADE BY USDA STAFF AND NOT NECESSARILY STATEMENTS OF OFFICIAL U.S.GOVERNMENT POLICY Required Report:Required-Public Distribution Date:June 18,2026 Report Number:IN2026-0034 Report Name:Grain and Feed Update Country:India Post:New Delhi

2、Report Category:Grain and Feed Prepared By:Santosh Singh Approved By:Mark Ford Report Highlights:On May 29,2026,the Indian Metrological Department(IMD)forecast for the Southwest Monsoon Season June-September,2026 predicted below-normal rainfall.On May 27,2026,the Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers

3、Welfare raised the third advance estimates of production of grains for the Indian crop year(ICY)2025/2026(July-June)to a record 376.6 million metric tons(MMT)on higher than last years record harvests of rice,wheat,corn and pulses.Post has incorporated the latest official production estimates for MY

4、2024/2025 and MY 2025/2026 in the PSDs for rice,wheat,corn,millet,sorghum,and barley.Based on the latest trade data,MY 2025/2026 corn exports estimate is raised to 2.4 MMT and imports lowered to 50,000 MT.Consumption and stocks have been adjusted to reflect the production and trade changes.Page 2 of

5、 14 IMD Forecasts Below Normal 2026 Monsoon On May 29,2026,the Indian Metrological Department(IMD)released the updated long-range forecast for the Southwest Monsoon Season June-September,2026 predicting below-normal rainfall over the country due to expected El Nino conditions during the season.Curre

6、ntly,neutral El Nino-Southern Oscillation(ENSO)conditions are transitioning toward El Nino conditions over the equatorial Pacific region,and latest climate models suggest El Nino conditions are likely to develop during the southwest monsoon season and are likely to continue during the monsoon season