奥纬咨询：2026地缘冲突如何重塑海湾合作委员会私募资本市场研究报告（英文版）（12页）.pdf

1、How conflict is reshaping the GCC privatecapital markets Oliver Wyman2Executive summaryRecent conflict in the Middle East is reshaping risk across Gulf Cooperation Council(GCC)private capital markets.Amid energy market disruption,shipping uncertainty,and broader geopolitical volatility,investors are

2、 becoming more selective in their overall investment approach,leaning increasingly towards sectors that offer resilience and strategic relevance.Private capital,including private equity,private credit,venture capital,infrastructure,and real estate,plays an increasingly important role in the GCCs inv

3、estment landscape.Sovereign wealth funds(SWFs)are central to this market,with their scale,long investment horizons and influence on regional capital deployment making them key actors in how the region responds to periods of volatility and dislocation.This environment is expected to drive a more focu

4、sed deployment of capital toward strategic sectors such as energy and infrastructure,including ports and logistics,defense and security,and technology and digital infrastructure areas which benefit from stronger demand visibility,policy alignment and strategic relevance.By contrast,sectors more expo

5、sed to discretionary demand,sentiment or execution complexity,such as consumer-facing businesses,hospitality-linked assets or tourism-linked real estate,are expected to experience short-term pressure and higher scrutiny though many continue to be supported by strong long-term structural fundamentals

6、 and commitments.As such,the extent and intensity of this increased selectivity and sector reprioritization will depend on the evolution of the geopolitical environment.Against this backdrop,GCC sovereign wealth funds are expected to play a stabilizing role in the regional economy,leveraging their a