S-Curve Economics：2025先立后破：加速零碳转型的政策框架（英文版）（124页）.pdf

1、First build,then break.A policy framework for accelerating zero-carbon transitionsAnna Murphy,Simon Sharpe,Frank Geels,Johan Lilliestam,Anthony Patt2025The authors thank the World Bank and the Climate Support Facility for their support.The views expressed in this publication are those of the authors

2、 and do not reflect the views or policies of the World Bank or its partners.The World Bank does not guarantee the accuracy of the data included in this work and accepts no responsibility for any consequences of their use.AcknowledgementsWe thank the following peer reviewers:Millie Begovic(United Nat

3、ions Development Programme),Germn Bersalli(Research Institute for Sustainability,GFZ),Chintan Daftardar(World Resources Institute,India),Lukas Hermwille(Wuppertal Institut),Mads Libergren(Ministry of Finance,Denmark),Jan Matthiesen(Carbon Trust),Jaya Sood(New Economics Foundation).About this reportF

4、irst build,then break:a policy framework for accelerating zero-carbon transitions builds on a previous report Analytical tools for innovation and competitiveness in the low carbon transition,which outlined key policy questions facing ministries of finance in addressing decarbonisation,low-carbon gro

5、wth,and competitiveness.It proposed a set of conceptual frameworks,decision-making frameworks,and analytical tools that can support policymakers to navigate low-carbon transitions,working with structural change,path-dependency,and uncertainty.This report brings an empirical perspective to low-carbon

6、 transition policy instruments,packages and sequences.It explains how technology transitions,including low-carbon transitions,occur in four stages:Emergence I:Invention,Emergence II:Market Introduction,Diffusion,and Reconfiguration,and how,because each stage has different aims and challenges,differe