1、Scenarios for the Global Steel Transition 1 COVER Scenarios for the Global Steel Transition The European Union,the United States and China 2 Scenarios for the Global Steel Transition Acknowledgements We are grateful to Varun Sivaram and Lindsay Iversen(Council on Foreign Relations)for co-hosting the
2、 United States scenarios workshop in Washington,DC;Marta Torres Gunfaus(IDDRI)for co-hosting the European Union workshop in Brussels;and Professor Wang Pu(Chinese Academy of Sciences)for hosting the workshop in Beijing.We extend our sincere thanks to all workshop participants and interviewees for th
3、eir time,insights,and thoughtful engagement.All discussions were held under Chatham House Rule,and participants contributions were invaluable to the development of the scenarios and analysis presented in this report.The views expressed in this report are solely those of the authors and do not necess
4、arily reflect those of participants or our funders.Authors Joe Morrisroe,S-Curve Economics CIC Simon Sharpe,S-Curve Economics CIC Alister Wilson,Waverley Consultants Author(s)2026.This work is distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.About us S-Curve Economics CIC is a non-prof
5、it research organisation focused on advancing the understanding of the economics and diplomacy of the energy transition.Our analysis focuses on the power,road transport,and steel sectors,and cross-cutting issues of economics,policy appraisal,and diplomacy.Find out more at www.scurveeconomics.org.Wav
6、erley Consultants is a group of practitioners in futures thinking,specialising in horizon scanning,scenario planning,and strategy development.Its clients include governments,universities,and businesses.Find out more at:https:/www.waverley.cloud/Scenarios for the Global Steel Transition 3 Contents 1