英国国防部：全球战略趋势：展望2055（2024）（第七版）（英文版）（456页）.pdf

1、Seventh EditionHow to navigateThe executive summary provides an overview of all the chapters in GST 7 as well as the six global drivers of change.Across GST 7,pull-out boxes offer an example of the described trends.Using a few specific examples,the map of interdependencies gives a sense of how the t

2、rends in GST 7 influenceglobal geopolitics.The key drivers of change summarise the major trends that will shape the futureof that region.Cross-impact analysisClimate change and pressure on the environmentInequality and pressure on governanceGlobal power competitionDemographic pressuresTechnological

3、advances and connectivityEconomic transformation and energy transition11222132112131410204159195168186177?For clarity purposes,the graphic above shows only the high and medium influence correlations.InfluenceHighMediumRegional and global power competition will become increasingly prevalent.1Geopolit

4、ical competition will lead to a slowdown in global trade.12The Asian middle class will continue to grow significantly.22The power and influence of big corporations will continue to grow.13The democratisation of space will enable commercial entities and non-state actors to become the forefront of spa

5、ce exploration.2The relative economic influence of Asia will grow.11The average age of the world population will increase.21The capability of violent extremist organisations and organised crime groups to do harm will increase.3The global demand for energy and natural resources will increase.14Global

6、 digital connectivity will continue to increase alongwith the rising value of data.10Global population growth will slow down with some regions experiencing a decline.20Climate change will cause more extreme weather events andrising sea levels globally.4The world will become less reliant on fossil fu