Brattle Group：2022国家脱碳的消费者行动路径报告（英文版）（39页）.pdf

1、SEPTEMBER 27,2021PREPARED FORPREPARED BYSanem Sergici Ryan HledikMichael HagertyAhmad FaruquiKate PetersThe Customer Action Pathway to National D|1Customer-driven adoption of GHG-reducing technologies will play a key role in achieving decarbonization targetsAmbitious decarbonization targets are bein

2、g set by states,counties,and cities Utilities and states are responding to these decarbonization targets by laying out pathways for achieving themWe expect these targets to become more aggressive in the next few years at both the state and federal levelsThe purpose of this study is to quantify the d

3、ecarbonization impact of customers adopting new technologies and energy consumption behaviors in the next 10-20 yearsThis study focuses specifically on the GHG reductions from the residential sector and light-duty vehicles(LDV)Brattles in-house models are used to estimate the load impact of customer

4、 adoption of new technologies and behaviors,and the corresponding GHG emissions impacts at the regional and national levelWe quantify the total aggregate impact of ambitious but achievable adoption of new GHG-reducing technologies,rather than impacts that are incremental to what is already expected

5、to be achieved under a status quo caseIntroduction9189437457531,36539%RESIDENTIALLDVMDV&HDVCOMMERCIALINDUSTRIAL|2Since 2005,annual U.S.energy-related greenhouse gas(GHG)emissions have declined by 878 MMT(or 13%)*85%of the reductions are from reduced electric power sector generation emissions(e.g.,re

6、duced coal generation)While the bulk of the decarbonization work to date focuses on understanding the impact of building a“greener grid”,it is important to consider what can be achieved through customer-directed actions This report focuses on two sectors,Residential and Light-Duty Vehicles,in which