美国能源信息署（EIA）：2026年美国短期能源展望报告（英文版）（60页）.pdf

1、 May 2026 ShortShort-TermTerm Energy Energy OutlookOutlook May 2026 U.S.Energy Information Administration|Short-Term Energy Outlook 1 The U.S.Energy Information Administration(EIA),the statistical and analytical agency within the U.S.Department of Energy(DOE),prepared this report.By law,our data,ana

2、lyses,and forecasts are independent of approval by any other officer or employee of the U.S.Government.The views in this report do not represent those of DOE or any other federal agencies.May 2026 U.S.Energy Information Administration|Short-Term Energy Outlook 2 Overview U.S.energy market indicators

3、 2025 2026 2027 Brent crude oil spot price(dollars per barrel)$69$95$79 Retail gasoline price(dollars per gallon)$3.10$3.88$3.62 U.S.crude oil production(million barrels per day)13.6 13.6 14.1 Natural gas price at Henry Hub(dollars per million British thermal units)$3.53$3.50$3.18 U.S.liquefied natu

4、ral gas gross exports(billion cubic feet per day)15 17 18 Shares of U.S.electricity generation Natural gas 40%39%40%Coal 17%16%15%Nuclear 18%18%18%Conventional hydropower 6%6%6%Wind 11%11%12%Solar 7%8%9%Other energy sources 1%1%1%U.S.GDP(percentage change)2.1%2.0%2.0%U.S.CO2 emissions(billion metric

5、 tons)4.9 4.8 4.8 Data source:U.S.Energy Information Administration,Short-Term Energy Outlook,May 2026 Note:Values in this table are rounded and may not match values in other tables in this report.Global oil production.Disruptions to crude oil production in the Middle East have increased significant

6、ly since our April Short-Term Energy Outlook(STEO).We assess that Iraq,Saudi Arabia,Kuwait,the UAE,Qatar,and Bahrain collectively shut in 10.5 million barrels per day(b/d)of crude oil production in April.This report assumes that the Strait of Hormuz remains effectively closed until late May,with shi