AMRO：2024年东盟与中日韩区域经济展望报告（英文版）（196页）.pdf

1、Navigating TomorrowASEAN+3REGIONALECONOMIC OUTLOOK2024The report is produced by the ASEAN+3 Macroeconomic Research Office(AMRO)for the use of the AMRO members and has been reviewed by the Executive Committee.Its publication has been approved by the Executive Committee of the AMRO.Any interpretations

2、 or conclusions expressed are not necessarily those of the AMRO members.By making any designation of or reference to a particular territory or geographical area,or by using the term“member”or“country”in this report,AMRO does not intend to make any judgements as to the legal or other status of any te

3、rritory or area.Nothing herein shall constitute or be considered to be a limitation upon or waiver of the privileges and immunities of the AMRO,all of which are specifically reserved.The factual information covers data for the period up to February 29,2024,except when stated otherwise.2023 ASEAN+3 M

4、acroeconomic Research Office ISSN:2529-7538Printed in SingaporeASEAN+3 Macroeconomic Research Office10 Shenton Way,#15-08 MAS Building Singapore 079117 enquiryamro-asia.orgwww.amro-asia.orgiiASEAN+3 Regional Economic Outlook 2024Table of ContentsForewordAcknowledgmentsAbbreviationsChapter 1.Macroeco

5、nomic Prospects and Challenges HighlightsI.Economic Developments in 2023:A Resilient but Challenging Year Domestic Demand Anchored Growth Weaker Exports Performance Gradual Disinflation Financial Conditions Eased Sustained External StrengthII.Outlook for ASEAN+3:Sustained Growth amid Continued Disin

6、flation Key Factors Shaping the Near-Term OutlookIII.Risks to the Outlook:Uncertainties RemainIV.Policy Considerations:To Prepare for TomorrowV.Special Feature:The Long Recovery from COVID-19AppendixReferencesChapter 2.Navigating TomorrowHighlightsI.IntroductionII.Navigating Aging Aging in ASEAN+3 M