1、Chinas Food FutureConsultation paper:how Chinas food-security strategy could reshapeglobal agricultural commoditysupply chainsExecutive SummaryUnderstanding ChangeImpactsContextImplicationsConclusionExecutive SummaryChina is poised to reshape global agricultural commodity supply chains as it acceler
2、ates apush for food security.01 Food security has become a strategic priority for Chinese leadership,central to economic stability and national security.02 Early signals suggest Beijing is applying the same industrial playbook that is delivering global leadership in solar and EVs to food and agricul
3、ture aligning policy,capital andtechnology.03 By 2030,Chinese import demand will have peaked and begun to fall,especially for feed and animal protein.Demand for imported soya beans is projected to fall by 25%.04 Long term,Chinas prioritisation of biomanufacturing and alternative protein technologies
4、 is set to transform domestic markets and reshape global food production.05 Producers who adapt early diversifying markets,upgrading productivity,raising deforestation and traceability standards are best placed to succeed in this changing landscape.2024:China is the worlds largest food importerBy 20
5、30By 2040By 2050$124.5bnChinas agricultural commoditiesimportdeficit 75%of Argentinas beef exports54%of Brazils beef exports41%of New Zealands beef exports89%of Argentinas soya bean exports71%of Brazils soyabean exports53%of US soya bean exportsBeefSoya beans25%reduction in Chinas soya bean imports1
6、4-16%of domestic beef and seafood markets captured by alternativeproteins inChina35-55%of domestic animal proteindemand met by alternative proteins2Systemiq Chinas Food FutureExecutive SummaryUnderstanding ChangeImpactsContextImplicationsConclusionOver the past four decades,China has undergone one o