美国农业部（USDA）：2026澳大利亚谷物与饲料年度报告（英文版）（31页）.pdf

1、 THIS REPORT CONTAINS ASSESSMENTS OF COMMODITY AND TRADE ISSUES MADE BY USDA STAFF AND NOT NECESSARILY STATEMENTS OF OFFICIAL U.S.GOVERNMENT POLICY Required Report:Required-Public Distribution Date:April 28,2026 Report Number:AS2026-0010 Report Name:Grain and Feed Annual Country:Australia Post:Canbe

2、rra Report Category:Grain and Feed Prepared By:Zeljko Biki Approved By:Lazaro Sandoval Report Highlights:The majority of Australias winter cropping area is well placed heading into marketing year(MY)2026/27.Central and southern New South Wales,Victoria,South Australia,and Western Australiaaccounting

3、 for around 90 percent of winter crop productionare entering the planting period with favorable seasonal conditions.Despite rising input costs associated with the Middle East situation,seasonal conditions remain the primary driver of planting decisions and yields.However,forecasts of below-average r

4、ainfall in the coming months,combined with the increasing likelihood of an El Nio developing later in 2026,are weighing on production prospects,with wheat and barley production and exports forecast to decline.Sorghum production and exports are also projected to decrease,reflecting the potential onse

5、t of El Nio conditions.Rice production and exports are forecast to fall to very low levels in MY 2026/27 due to a further reduction in irrigation water availability,following sharp declines in MY 2025/26.EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The majority of Australias winter cropping regions are well positioned at the

6、outset of marketing year(MY)2026/27.Central and southern New South Wales,Victoria,South Australia,and Western Australiawhich together account for approximately 90 percent of national winter crop productionhave entered the planting period with favorable root zone soil moisture levels.Early-season rai