AMRO：2026东盟与中日韩区域经济展望报告（英文版）（104页）.pdf

1、AASEAN+3 Regional Economic Outlook 2026ASEAN+3REGIONALECONOMIC OUTLOOK2026ASEAN+3 Regional Economic Outlook 2026iThe report is produced by the ASEAN+3 Macroeconomic Research Office(AMRO)for the use of the AMRO members and has been reviewed by the Executive Committee.Its publication has been approved

2、 by the Executive Committee of the AMRO.Any interpretations or conclusions expressed are not necessarily those of the AMRO members.By making any designation of or reference to a particular territory or geographical area,or by using the term“member”or“country”in this report,AMRO does not intend to ma

3、ke any judgements as to the legal or other status of any territory or area.As Timor-Leste is not currently a member of AMRO,it falls outside AMROs formal surveillance mandate.Consequently,Timor-Leste is not included in the ASEAN+3 regional economic assessment,except where specifically noted for info

4、rmational context.Nothing herein shall constitute or be considered to be a limitation upon or waiver of the privileges and immunities of the AMRO,all of which are specifically reserved.The factual information covers data for the period up to March 13,2026,except when stated otherwise.2026 ASEAN+3 Ma

5、croeconomic Research Office ISSN:2529-7538Printed in SingaporeASEAN+3 Macroeconomic Research Office10 Shenton Way,#15-08 MAS Building Singapore 079117 enquiryamro-asia.orgwww.amro-asia.orgiiASEAN+3 Regional Economic Outlook 2026ForewordAcknowledgmentsAbbreviationsChapter 1.Macroeconomic Prospects an

6、d Challenges HighlightsI.Economic Developments in 2025:Better Than Expected Performance Trade Held Firm Despite Unprecedented Trade Policy Uncertainty Domestic Demand Anchored Growth Inflation Remained Low and Stable Financial Conditions Eased After April Volatility Stronger External Position Provid