1、The AI jobs transition frameworkMapping AIs near-term impact on jobsAlex Martin RichmondApril 2026Note from the Chief EconomistAI is transforming our lives.Its helping us complete important tasks,reshaping how we work,and expanding what individuals and organizations can do.Those capabilities also cr

2、eate important questions for the broader economy and job market:what will AIs labor market impact be?Where will the impacts be felt most and when?And how can we ensure that the AI transition works for everyone?While AI capabilities are advancing very quickly,businesses,institutions,and labor markets

3、 take time to adjust.That lag means we must avoid two kinds of error:overstating immediate disruption and understating long-run impact.That is why we see this transition as a force we can shape,not simply observe.Our role is to identify where economic changes are already occurring and disseminate th

4、is data widely,so workers,firms,and policymakers can act with the best possible information.Were working to address this gap through sharing what were seeing and informing a wide set of stakeholders through releasing data,publishing policy ideas like our Industrial Policy for the Intelligence Age to

5、 jump start conversation and debate,and continuing to develop and deploy more advanced models that are easier to use so more people not just a select few can participate in the AI economy.01The AI jobs transition frameworkNote from the Chief EconomistSince I started in this role in 2024,AI capabilit

6、ies have increased at unprecedented speed,and early adopters are already seeing meaningful productivity gains.Several studies have compared the tasks we do at work to what AI can do today and suggest immediate and widespread economic impact.At the same time,the aggregate labor market impact remains