美国农业部（USDA）：2026土耳其棉花及其制品市场年度报告（英文版）（19页）.pdf

1、 THIS REPORT CONTAINS ASSESSMENTS OF COMMODITY AND TRADE ISSUES MADE BY USDA STAFF AND NOT NECESSARILY STATEMENTS OF OFFICIAL U.S.GOVERNMENT POLICY Required Report:Required-Public Distribution Date:March 31,2026 Report Number:TU2026-0012 Report Name:Cotton and Products Annual Country:Turkiye Post:An

2、kara Report Category:Cotton and Products Prepared By:FAS Turkiye Staff Approved By:Rishan Chaudhry Report Highlights:Turkiyes cotton production in marketing year(MY)2026/27 is forecast to decrease to 525,000 metric tons(MT;2.41 million bales),based on the assumption that cotton prices will remain st

3、agnant and orders to Turkish ready-to-wear apparel producers will remain low.Cotton farmers were unable to make adequate profits in recent MYs to cover rising input costs.In MY 2026/27,Turkish cotton consumption is expected to be 1.45 million MT(6.66 million bales)like last MY.Cotton imports in MY 2

4、026/27 are forecast to be 980,000 MT(4.5 million bales),with the United States losing its top spot as Turkiyes supplier of cotton as imports shift to Brazil due to lower prices.Map 1:Standard Precipitation Index(SPI)Method Drought Map for last 6 Months(Sept.2025 Feb.2026)Source:General Directorate o

5、f Meteorology of Turkiye.I.Production Post projects approximately 525,000 metric tons(MT)(2.41 million bales)of cotton fiber production on about 310,000 hectares(ha)in marketing year(MY)2026/27.This forecast is about 21 percent less than the previous MYs revised estimate of 665,000 MT(3.05 million b

6、ales).The reason for the decrease in production is the expectation of 22 percent contraction of production area.Post assumes a regular yield for MY 2026/27 as of about one month before planting begins.Chart 1:Cotton Production Versus Area in Turkiye Source:USDA,Foreign Agricultural Service official