美国农业部（USDA）：2026墨西哥谷物与饲料市场年度报告（英文版）（26页）.pdf

1、 THIS REPORT CONTAINS ASSESSMENTS OF COMMODITY AND TRADE ISSUES MADE BY USDA STAFF AND NOT NECESSARILY STATEMENTS OF OFFICIAL U.S.GOVERNMENT POLICY Required Report:Required-Public Distribution Date:March 13,2026 Report Number:MX2026-0018 Report Name:Grain and Feed Annual Country:Mexico Post:Mexico C

2、ity Report Category:Grain and Feed Prepared By:Rodrigo Trejo Approved By:Abigail Mackey Report Highlights:Post forecasts Mexican production of wheat,rice,and sorghum in marketing year(MY)2026/2027 higher largely due to improved water availability.Corn production is forecast to decline,as rising inpu

3、t costs,anticipated low crop prices,and elevated carryover stocks from MY 2025/2026 output weigh on planting decisions.Imports of corn,wheat,and rice are forecast to increase,driven by rising consumption tied to population growth and an expected expansion in livestock production.Sorghum imports are

4、forecast to decrease as domestic production gradually recovers and feed demand increasingly shifts toward imported yellow corn.2 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Strong demand for grains is forecast to persist in 2026 due to an expectation of population growth,increases in production of poultry and pork,and a posi

5、tive economic forecast.Mexicos central bank recently revised the countrys economic growth forecast for 2026 upward to 1.6 percent,citing expansion in domestic consumption and increased exports.Mexico is projected to remain a major importer of basic grains,with total grain imports forecast to rise in

6、 MY 2026/2027 to meet growing demand amid limited domestic production.Mexicos corn production in MY 2026/2027 is forecast to decrease by 3 percent year-on-year to 24.5 million metric tons(MMT).High input costs,anticipated low corn prices,and elevated white corn carryover stocks from MY 2025/2026 are