1、中国乘用车2026年2Confidential and proprietary月替换胎市场展望趋势442/433Confidential and proprietary2025年全年零售量预计达到1.14亿条,同比2024年增长+2.2%数据来源:GfK全国推总数据及预测,乘用车替换胎包含轿车、轻卡、SUV2替换胎,成为带动全球市场增长的火车头预计2025年1.14亿条线下+0.4%同比上涨+2.2%线上+8.9%+分渠道(2025Evs2024)442/433 Confidential and proprietary55 61 70 78 90 96 85 97 91 89 89 6 13
2、19 106 89 55 61 70 78 5 96 10 111 115 120 105 20 23 98 114 112 114 201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025EOnlineOffline中国乘用车替换胎市场规模(不含轻卡胎)2025年估计整体市场上涨2.2%,其中线下市场上涨数据来源:GfK全国推总数据及预测3Updated by Nov 20th 0.4%2011-2025E单位:百万条乘用车换轮胎市场规模预估零售量同比增速%12.3%10.9%14.8%11.7%13.5%8.0%11.0%4.
3、3%3.3%-8.2%13.5%-18.0%15.8%-1.8%2.2%线上零售量比重%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%5.1%6.5%9.4%11.7%14.8%19.0%19.2%19.4%19.8%20.2%21.5%+38%+38%+61%+15%-17%84+11%+15%+12%+8%+6%+8%+2%+13%23+18%23+0%-79-18%+15%2.2%25+30%17 98+0%+31%98-13%+18%+8.9%+0.4%442/433 Confidential and proprietary从产品维度看,174吋及以上大尺寸产品将继续成为带动中国市场增长的火车头4.
4、86.39.812.414.68.19.812.316.418.720.023.225.227.429.831.030.735.533.630.826.523.521.629.926.623.217.514.513.13.320202021 202220232024FY2021-FY2025 轮胎细分尺寸段零售量比重|Growth+/-2025%15-16181719+442/433 Confidential and proprietary 尺寸的不断扩大,带来了高价格段的产品市场份额不断扩大,大于800元以上的市场份额呈现增长的趋势,2025年全年占比达到526.7%FY2021-FY202
5、5 轮胎细分价格段零售量比重|平均零售单价 RMB|Growth+/-%8.38.09.713.715.515.48.68.39.611.611.811.317.716.517.017.718.418.132.930.729.427.827.126.732.536.634.329.227.328.42020202120222023202420250 400600 800400 600800 1000442/433 Confidential and proprietary63.959.516.816.211.212.77.110.01.01.720242025 0 400 600 800 100
6、0尺寸的不断扩大,带来了高价格段的产品市场份额不断扩大,大于800元以上的市场份额呈现增长的趋势,2025年全年占比达到626.7%FY2024-FY2025 轮胎细分尺寸段中价格零售量比重|平均零售单价 RMB15.813.232.330.532.433.914.918.54.620243.9202532.727.723.923.323.023.916.420.04.05.22024202510.99.446.742.940.646.30.220240.2202514.512.284.587.20.0202415