麦肯锡：2026国家健康：健康强则经济强-技术附录（英文版）（39页）.pdf

1、Number 19,June 2025The health of nations:Stronger health,stronger economiesFebruary 2026Technical appendixTable of contentsEstimate the health improvements from scaling selected health interventionsQuantify the economic benefit of improved healthEstimate the incremental cost and economic returnBibli

2、ography3101419This appendix outlines the methodology and key assumptions underlying the Prioritizing Health model,which assesses the global disease burden and models the potential impact of scaling proven cost-effective health interventions on population-level health and the global economy.This anal

3、ysis represents an“art of the possible”approach,aiming to estimate the potential benefits of expanding access to proven health interventions on a global scale.While it provides a high-level perspective on the opportunities and impact,it is important to acknowledge that there are inherent limitations

4、 in the data,clinical evidence,and assumptions used.Further research in this area would be valuable to refine the estimates.The model comprises three main analytical steps:Estimate the health improvements from scaling selected health interventions.Quantify the economic benefit of improved health.Est

5、imate the incremental cost and economic return.Estimate the health improvements from scaling selected health interventionsThe model adopted a bottom-up approach,assessing individual health conditions in detail and estimating the potential reduction in disease burden achievable through the scale-up o

6、f specific interventions.It encompassed approximately 90 conditions,representing about 85 percent of the total global disease burden,and incorporated risk-attributable burden from around 27 risk factors,which together accounted for roughly 98 percent of the total risk-attributable disease burden.For