1、Scenarios for the Global Economy Dialogue SeriesFour Futures for Jobs in the New Economy:AI and Talent in 2030W H I T E P A P E RJ A N U A R Y 2 0 2 6Images:Adobe StockDisclaimer This document is published by the World Economic Forum as a contribution to a project,insight area or interaction.The fin

2、dings,interpretations and conclusions expressed herein are a result of a collaborative process facilitated and endorsed by the World Economic Forum but whose results do not necessarily represent the views of the World Economic Forum,nor the entirety of its Members,Partners or other stakeholders.2026

3、 World Economic Forum.All rights reserved.No part of this publication may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means,including photocopying and recording,or by any information storage and retrieval system.ContentsExecutive summary 31 Introduction 52 Four futures for jobs in2030 73 Impl

4、ications for businesses 144 How businesses can prepare today for anyscenario 16Contributors 17Endnotes 19Four Futures for Jobs in the New Economy:AI and Talent in 20302Executive summaryThe rapid commercialization of emerging technologies is reshaping workflows,business models andtalent pipelines.As

5、artificial intelligence(AI)shifts from experimentation to integration,the pace and trajectory of its advancement deepen the uncertainty about itsimplications on businesses,workers and the global economy.The views of business executives on the impact of AI vary too:globally,about 54%expect AI to disp

6、lace existing jobs,and 24%said AI will create new jobs.Nearly 45%also cited an increase in profit margins as a likely impact of AI,and only 12%expect it to lead to higher wages.The future of workplaces and value chains will not be defined by the technologies alone.Human capital strategies and invest