03 曹广启 大兆瓦机组集成式驱动链动力学仿真及测试对比验证2025.11.29.pdf

1、大兆瓦机组集成式驱动链动力学仿真及测试对比验证上海电气风电集团股份有限公司汇报人：曹广启Comparative Validation of Dynamic Simulation and Testing Shanghai Electric Wind Power Group.,Ltd.Benchmark for Compact Drivetrain in Multi-Megawatt TurbinesPresenter:Cao Guangqi 目 录1、行业背景2、动力学仿真关键技术3、测试对比结果Wind Industry BackgroundCritical Technologies of D

2、ynamic SimulationTest Comparative Results目 录1、行业背景2、动力学仿真关键技术3、测试对比结果Wind Industry BackgroundCritical Technologies of Dynamic SimulationTest Comparative Results 截至2024年底，全国风电新增装机达到8800万千瓦，累计并网5.21亿千瓦占装机总量的15.5%。By the end of 2024,Chinas newly installed wind power capacity reached 88 GW;The cumulativ

3、e grid-connected capacity hit 521 GW,15.5%of the total installed capacity.2024年风电全年发电量9968亿千瓦时，占全部发电量的10.1%。In 2024,the annual wind power generation amounted to 99.68 b kWh,constituting 10.1%of the overall AEG.1.1、风电在能源结构中的占比大幅提升Share Surge of Wind Power in the Energy Mix34%15%10%13%14%34%16%11%21%1

4、8%0%5%10%15%20%25%30%35%40%01000020000300004000050000600002015201620172018201920202021202220232024新增并网累计并网年增长率Newly Grid-connectedAccu.Grid-connectedAnnual Growth Rate1.2、海陆产品快速迭代，售价持续走低-海上Offshore Products Rapid Iteration with Continuous Price Decline 近五年国内海上风电单机容量增长2.5倍，风轮直径增长58%，平均售价下降59%。In rece

5、nt 5 years,the Chinas offshore unit capacity has grown to 2.5 times the original level with 58%increase of rotor diameter while 59%decrease of ASP*.直驱机组彻底退出中国海上风电新增市场。Direct-drive wind turbines have been completely phased out of Chinas new offshore wind market.国内海上风电新增机组平均单机容量和最大风轮直径Ave.UC*&the Max.

6、Rotor Diameter Among the Newly Installed China Offshore Wind Turbines 海上机组不含塔筒加权平均价格走势China Offshore Wind Turinbes WAP*Trend(Excl.Tower)Unit:CNY/kW*UC:Unit Capacity单机容量*WAP:Weighted Average Price加权平均价*ASP:Average Selling Price 平均售价Max.Unit Capacity-MLWS(MW)Max.Unit Capacity-HWS(MW)近五年国内陆上风电单机容量增长1倍，